02/02/11 Baltimore, Maryland – We knew it would be a record… But the question remained: by how much?
The US Mint sold 6,422,000 Silver Eagles in January 2011 – half as many as were sold in the previous record-setting month of November 2010.
There are a few nattering nabobs who say the figures are skewed because the Mint credited some December sales to January. So what? If you add up December and January sales and average them, you still get the second-highest monthly total ever…right behind November 2010.
Fact is demand is intense.
After just one week, Canada’s biggest bullion bank sold out its limited stock of 100-ounce silver bars. Now ScotiaMocatta has no silver bars to sell in any size. One ounce, 5 ounces, 100 ounces and the kilobars – all gone.
For its part, the spot price of silver remains in “consolidation mode” – down this morning to $28.35. Gold is fetching $1,337 this morning.
For the second time this year, we’re hearing reports of high premiums for gold bars in Hong Kong – the highest since 1994, by one account.
Dealers attribute it to the advent of Lunar New Year in China and wedding season in India. “There’s a lot of interest from India,” a Singapore-based dealer tells Reuters, “but it’s just that we can’t meet their demand. Everybody is snatching the available stocks.”
That’s what Vancouver favorite Frank Holmes calls “the love trade” in gold – the traditional affinity for gold in emerging-market cultures. Then there’s the “fear trade.”
“The fear trade drivers,” says Frank, “are negative real interest rates and deficit spending to support social welfare programs. The Federal Reserve reaffirmed last week that real interest rates will remain negative for the long haul.”
Meanwhile, Frank reminds us that at $14.13 trillion dollars, we’re getting perilously close to the congressionally mandated national debt ceiling of $14.29 trillion.
“Since the mid-1980s, the US has raised its debt ceiling hand in hand with the country’s economic growth, even faster, in some cases.”

Bottom line: “The only thing keeping gold prices from skyrocketing has been money supply, which has been slow to rise. The correction in gold appears to be over for the reasons cited above. We’re near the 200-day moving average, which is a key psychological support level.”
Addison Wiggin
for The Daily Reckoning
The Daily Reckoning is your premier source for making sense of the news Washington and Wall Street generate. Each business day, The Daily Reckoning calls on its stable of world-class writers and thinkers to show you how to get ahead.
Start your 100% FREE subscription to The Daily Reckoning today and you’ll get a free research report, “How to Survive the Fall of Social Security.” Simply enter your email address below to get your free report and join over 495,000 worldwide Daily Reckoning subscribers!
We Respect Your Privacy and We will
Never Share or Sell Your Email Address





silver:
paper = consolidation.
physical = out the door.
gold:
what’s a high premium on a gold bar in HongKong?
$3/oz?
i just called one of the local coin shops and asked my standard Q:
“Hi. Could you pls. tell me what you are buying and selling 1/10 oz. gold $5 Eagles for, today?
“Sure. We’re buying @ $125. We’re selling @ $168.”
now, THAT’s a premium!
i don’t usually deal there, but they are the big boyz around here, w/ centerfold spreads in the coin mags, most of which stuff is NOT bullion.
so, i tried to call the guy with whom i most frequently bang heads to put deals together, locally, usually for others, b/c i am always broke, but willing to help others.
i got his ans. machine.
i’m pretty sure he’s out riding his bike.
he’s no fool!
now, then: although the bounce off the 120 dma is highly probable here, many. who are NOT traders, will hafta wait longer, perhaps.
why? b/c the gold/silver ratio is now @ 47.1, way down from 70+ a year or two ago. maybe it will reverse, but, until it does, the trend is your friend.
well, you sure nailed it!
v.v.v. nice!
and…ahem…, the g/s :: is down a little, too!
whew!