Rocky Vega

The EU had made progress. The German Chancellor had grudgingly relented, and had come to terms with transferring funds, along with the IMF, to Greece in order to help it work through its debt restructuring. For a while even the debt markets briefly acknowledged the movement toward a real solution… but no longer. Four German professors have requested a court injunction against the transfer, stating that it “violates the ‘no-bail-out’ clause of the EU Treaties.”

For more details we turn to The Daily Telegraph:

“Dr Karl Albrecht Schachtschneider, law professor at Nuremberg and author of the complaint, told The Daily Telegraph that he will be ready to file within days and will ask the court for an expedited procedure. A ruling could occur within a week, but may take as long as six months. The complaint will argue that the rescue contains an illegal rate subsidy, threatens monetary stability as encoded in the Maastricht Treaty, and breaches the ‘no bail-out’ clause. Greece is clearly responsible for its own mess.

“‘It is a question of law. The duty of the court to defend the German constitution. They have no choice other than reaching a lawful decision. This may cause a great crisis in Europe but we already have a crisis,’ he said. He will ask the court to freeze rescue aid while the case is pending. There is a precedent for this. It ordered Berlin to halt implementation of the Lisbon Treaty while it reviewed the treaty last year. Such a move would cause havoc on Europe’s bond markets.

“‘This court hearing is going to be very dangerous,’ said Hans Redeker, currency chief at BNP Paribas. ‘It could lead to Germany itself being catapulted out of the currency union. Once investors begin to fear this, there will not be single euro in further financing for the EMU periphery.'”

The timeline for a ruling, from a week to six months, and the possible fallout, ranging to “Germany itself being catapulted out of the currency union,” create a great deal of new uncertainty for the Greek crisis that so recently seemed on its way to resolution. The professors have the right idea, bailouts don’t help anyone. It creates moral hazard and, as they indicate, is just another example of governments throwing good money after bad.

Still it’s interesting that at this point, depending on how the ruling unfolds, there could be a complete unraveling of the euro. Other troubled euro countries like Portugal and Spain would also see their debt problems worsen severely. It certainly goes to show how the legal framework supporting the US dollar stands much stronger in contrast.

Visit The Daily Telegraph to read more about how Greek aid is in doubt.

Best,

Rocky Vega,
The Daily Reckoning

Rocky Vega

Rocky Vega is publisher of Agora Financial International, where he advances the growth of Agora Financial publishing enterprises outside of the US. Previously, he was publisher of The Daily Reckoning, and founding publisher of both UrbanTurf and RFID Update -- which he ran from Brazil, Chile, and Puerto Rico -- as well as associate publisher of FierceFinance. Rocky has an honors MS from the Stockholm School of Economics and an honors BA from Harvard University, where he served on the board of directors for Let?s Go Publications, Harvard Student Agencies, and The Harvard Advocate.

  • John Ryskamp

    How many lawyers participated in drafting this bailout? A lot. I’m sure THEY made sure it will survive this challenge. I’m not familiar enough with the law at issue, but do these professors have what in the U.S. is known as “standing” to sue. They certainly wouldn’t under American law.

    No, the real problem with the bailout is that it’s U.S. bailout-style looting. And Greece is a bottomless pit of bad debt.

    So are the other “countries” which are now going to line up. Still more looting on behalf of the oligarchy.

    Too bad we’ll have to get to 50% unemployment to have a revolution. And we’ll get that level of unemployment.

  • john

    Are you joking….Germany knocked out of the Euro? If Germany is knocked out of teh Euro, there is no more Euro.

Recent Articles

How to Make the Casinos Pay You for a Change

Greg Guenthner

It's a theme we've shared with you since April. And it's only gotten worse. The gaming industry has come under all sorts of pressure--a situation I first noticed in the charts. The powerful, multi-year uptrends started showing cracks. And it wasn't long before those cracks turned into gaping holes you could drive a friggin' truck through. That's where things stand today.


How Low Will Oil Go – And What Can You Do?

Matt Insley

The oil market has been under siege for six months. From service providers to producers this downturn has been painful. Of course, we’ve known all along that oil prices were a little toppy over the summer. In fact, when asked just how low oil prices could go I usually answered with a simple “lower than you’d expect…”


Cuba’s Berlin Wall Moment

Peter Coyne

Our forecast that Cuba would be open and integrated within 5-10 years is on track after yesterday's big announcement. Ahead of schedule, even. Click here to see how some investors have profited and what the island's likely future is...


The $4 LED Trend You Don’t Want to Miss

Chris Mayer

The opportunity to sell and install LEDs is enormous. We’re talking about over a billion lighting fixtures. And the areas with the largest potential -- like parking lots -- have barely begun to change. Banker to the presidents Chris Mayer says you could triple your money in this new tech trend. Here's what you need to know.


Three Time Bombs in Your 401(k) and How to Disarm Them Now

Dave Gonigam

By the time you do… Kaboom! It’s too late. They’ve already blown up your retirement. There are three time bombs the mutual fund industry has planted within your 401(k). By the time you’re done with this article, you’ll know how to identify them. And, more importantly, how to disarm them. Dave Gonigam has the scoop...


Got Tech Stocks? Sell These Flops Now…

Greg Guenthner

The latest victim of the crude rout is none other than the stalwart tech stocks. These are the go-to trades that have held up all year long. I'm talking about stocks like Google, Yahoo! and Microsoft. Like I said before, these aren't no-name stocks you're seeing drop more than 10% from their highs last month.