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Goldman to the Rescue!

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11/15/11 Paris, France – More pieces are coming together. Day by day, the puzzle takes shape. Not a pretty picture.

An epic battle is taking place. Between the forces of…

…inflation and deflation

…growth and depression

…credit expansion and credit destruction

…centralization and de-centralization

…politics and markets

…managed paper money and gold

…managed capitalism and the real thing

…control and wealth

…bull and bear

…greed and fear

…zombies and real working people.

Yes, dear reader, it’s quite a fight. Better than Frazier vs. Ali. And who’s gonna win?

Europe faces its “toughest hour since WWII,” says Angela Merkel. What does she propose? More centralization. Centralization got Europe into this mess — harmonizing interest rates so that the Greeks and Italians could borrow more. And now, more centralization, she believes, will get it out.

Europe is taking no chances. This debt problem is a slugger. What to do about it?

Who knows more about debt problems than anyone else? The people who cause them, of course. So, under great pressure from the centralized European authorities, Greece got rid of its Papandreou, after the man had the gall to suggest letting democracy work. He wanted the people to vote on further austerity measures. It replaced him with Papademos…a guy who won’t make the mistake of deferring to the masses. After all, he was vice-president of the European Central Bank for years. And he taught at the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard.

Meanwhile, Italy too has been forced to get rid of its popular, but difficult to control, elected leader — Silvio Berlusconi. It has put in a company man. Yes, a company man. What company? Goldman Sachs, of course. The new fellow, Mario Monti is an ex-Goldman guy. And so is the new fellow at the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi. Monti was also an EU commissioner. Draghi ran the Bank of Italy as the nation built up one of the world’s biggest piles of debt. Then, when Italy’s cost of borrowing shot over 7%, in came Monti and Draghi.

It is almost as if they planned it that way. Who’s the biggest seller of debt on the planet? We don’t know…but Goldman Sachs has to be up in the rankings somewhere. You’ll recall it was Goldman that helped Greece structure its debt so that it could abide by the letter of its treaty engagements with Europe but totally thumb its nose at the spirit of it.

And now the debt has blown up…and the Goldman boys are on the job, managing the mess they were so instrumental in creating.

What’s their solution? Oh come on…dear reader, you should know how this works by now. They propose more centralization, more management, more paper money, more debt, more inflation, more of everything you see on the right hand of our column above.

In other words, they believe that they know better than the people…or the market. They believe that their sanitized, homogenized, pasteurized Capitalism-in-a-Can works better than the real thing. Besides, they have a reason to believe it. This claptrap is the source of their power, status and money. Who knows, maybe their wives married them because it.

Rather than renounce the program on which their reputations, careers and fortunes depend, they try to shore it up. They open up the can and see what they can use. They promise to reform the system, not reject it.

But every reform — unless it merely dismantles one of their previous reforms — is a manipulation…a price fix…and a scam. For example, they are proposing tax incentives to employers who hire youths and women. Good idea? Why not just drop some of the regulations and taxes that make it so expensive to hire youths and women in the first place? Nope. Then, they’d be giving up control. They’d be letting market forces decide who gets what. Here’s another proposed reform, as reported in The Financial Times: “Wider social safety net to help those made redundant (laid off) and encourage labor mobility.” Typical rubbish. Spread a wider safety net and you discourage people from doing the hard work of finding new careers. But here’s one that will be popular with the managers: a “crackdown on tax evasion.” Are you kidding? Tax evasion is the only thing that keeps these economies going. People prevent their government from squandering their money. They spend it themselves. But the new Goldman guys won’t like it. They’ll want to get their hands on as much of that ‘black money’ as possible.

Meanwhile, what’s going on in the USA? Alas, the US economy is the hands of the same sort of people… The people who caused the mess…who did not see it coming…and who have not had a clue what to do about it. They’re still running US economic policy. These illustrious incompetents — such as Larry Summers of Obama’s National Economic Council and Tim Geithner, his Treasury Secretary — have proven that they wouldn’t know a Great Correction if it bit them on the behind..

So, they just keep adding more debt, more spending, more management, more ‘reform’ measures, and more centralization.

Ultimately, the elite managers of Europe and America all went to the same schools (Harvard, Yale, MIT…)…all read the same newspapers and magazines (The Financial Times and The Economist)…all worship the same gods (money and power)…all speak the same language (mid-Atlantic English)…and all want to control the world.

So far, they seem to be making great progress towards their objectives. They stuff the world with debt. It blows up. Then, they push out democratically-elected leaders…gain new power and authority…and take charge of the rescue.

Of course, everything isn’t smooth sailing for the manipulators. There are storms to reckon with. The Telegraph reports that there is revolution in the air. From Ambrose Evans Pritchard:

Italy’s youth are turning. Watch the footage of students chanting “democracy” and brandishing their “95 Theses” of Wittenberg revolt as poet Van Rompuy tried to speak in Fiesole.

“No to Austerity,” starts the Luther List: “Troika out of Greece”, “IMF and ECB out of Italy, Ireland, and Portugal”, it goes on.

“The EU has become ever less accountable to the people of Europe. The undemocratic structures have infiltrated the very structures of the Union,” they said.

Behold “the EU’s furious reaction to the Greek government’s effort to seek popular consent over the financial stranglehold imposed on the country. No longer are expressions of popular consent simply ignored, it is now impermissible to consult citizens.”

“The game is getting dangerous,” said Il Sole. Some suspect that the Berlusconi camp would not do too badly in snap elections, if allowed, campaigning against the “hated euro and EU bosses”. Is that why Brussels is now so afraid of Italy’s voters?

If Mr. Monti relies on the Left, how can he comply with EU orders to break the power of the trade unions and impose “Anglo-Saxon” wage-bargaining? A large bloc in parliament will die in a ditch to defend Article 18 of the labour code.

Labour minister Maurizio Sacconi warned last week that careless handling of this issue threatens to unleash another round of terrorism in Italy. It is only nine years since Marco Biagi was assassinated by the Red Brigades for threatening the sacred cows of the Sindicati.

In 2009 the European Commission praised Italy’s “spectacular job creation” and its “greater resilience to external shocks”. In 2008 in said Italy was making “good progress” on the Lisbon reform agenda. In 2007 it said Italy’s debt sustainability risk was “broadly in line” with France and Germany.

Italy’s four sets of pension reforms were held out as a shining example. Finance minister Giulio Tremonti was feted in Brussels, lauded for his iron discipline and primary budget surplus.

And now these same EU bodies tell us that Italy’s failure to grasp the nettle of reform and tackle its debts is so egregious that Europe must step in to overthrow an elected government.

Regards,

Bill Bonner
for The Daily Reckoning

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Bill Bonner

Since founding Agora Inc. in 1979, Bill Bonner has found success and garnered camaraderie in numerous communities and industries. A man of many talents, his entrepreneurial savvy, unique writings, philanthropic undertakings, and preservationist activities have all been recognized and awarded by some of America's most respected authorities. Along with Addison Wiggin, his friend and colleague, Bill has written two New York Times best-selling books, Financial Reckoning Day and Empire of Debt. Both works have been critically acclaimed internationally. With political journalist Lila Rajiva, he wrote his third New York Times best-selling book, Mobs, Messiahs and Markets, which offers concrete advice on how to avoid the public spectacle of modern finance. Since 1999, Bill has been a daily contributor and the driving force behind The Daily ReckoningDice Have No Memory: Big Bets & Bad Economics from Paris to the Pampas, the newest book from Bill Bonner, is the definitive compendium of Bill’s daily reckonings from more than a decade: 1999-2010. 

 

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16 Responses

  1. Jahfre Fire Eater said

    I thought you missed the most important domestic conflict, Bill…but you had tucked it in at the end.

    I call it the 2nd US Civil War where the battle lines are drawn between net tax consumers (zombies) and net tax payers (real working people).

    Since I don’t believe I’ve ever had an original though in my life I wouldn’t be surprised if I got that from you. Ha, ha.
    -Jahfre Fire Eater

    on November 15, 2011.
  2. El Rosarino said

    UN VAFFANCULO A TUTTI QUELLI CHE STANNO ROVINANDO L’ITALIA

    on November 15, 2011.
  3. Tybz said

    Bill,

    One column of yours a day is worth 10 times the analysis of a month of MSM and the politicians of our day (Ron Paul excepted).

    Thank you for your insights and explanations.

    on November 15, 2011.
  4. John said

    As a worker bee, I’m carrying one, maybe two zombies on my back and they’re getting heavy.

    on November 15, 2011.
  5. John said

    “One column of yours a day is worth 10 times the analysis of a month of MSM”

    Maybe 1000 times more than BSNBC.

    on November 15, 2011.
  6. Andrew B. said

    Bill, one of your rare posts where I can find faults. First of all, it’s not the EU & EMU that caused the PIIGS to borrow at low rates. It was in the law that there’s no debt union. Why the markets thought Greece’s debt is just as valuable as Germany’s is beyond me. Second of all, it’s funny that you’re quoting Ambrose Evans-Pritchard who is the cheerleader of the Fed, Larry Summers and printing-money-policies.

    on November 15, 2011.
  7. Two Dollar President said

    Bill – I am trying to get a hold of you – please respond to my e-mail address:
    TwoDollarPresident@Yahoo.Com
    Very Important
    Regards – TDP -

    on November 15, 2011.
  8. The InvestorsFriend said

    DEBT MANAGEMENT TWO THOUSAND AND ELEVEN STYLE

    I have two small lines of credit at the same bank. Have had them for years, use them off and on for investing.

    In October I made the two October payments and what I thought was the two November payments, which i was making early.

    The bank counted all payments as October payments and the statement said I still needed to make the November payments.

    So OKAY, I just now used line of credit A to pay line of credit B and B to pay A. In effect I borrowed new money to make the payments. The bank will be perfectly happy with this. If I keep it up they will raise my credit limit, I am sure.

    This is Debt management 2011.

    Visa will happily accept a payment made from a cash advance on masterCard as well.

    It all works great until some silly bank decides to stop lending new money to pay old debts. But why should they stop?

    on November 15, 2011.
  9. ChairmanOfTheBored said

    I believe this is the string theory of everything. Depending on the vibration of the fundamental building block of the reality, all twin states listed above could be materialized in parallel:

    …inflation and deflation

    …growth and depression

    …credit expansion and credit destruction

    …centralization and de-centralization

    …politics and markets

    …managed paper money and gold

    …managed capitalism and the real thing

    …control and wealth

    …bull and bear

    …greed and fear

    …zombies and real working people.

    on November 15, 2011.
  10. phelps said

    Bill you should have taken a break from the markets and enjoyed the Tebow Show in Arrowhead stadium. Some say it was an ugly game, but it was great football. I couldn’t love that guy anymore unless he was made out of bacon. The press loves to hate him, but everyone, even the Chiefs players had to take a look at him. Interesting, never saw anything like it.

    on November 15, 2011.
  11. phelps said

    Tebow had more press chasing him on sunday than PSU coaches did on saturday and they had a major scandal, or no one would have cared about PSU. It is mystery to some why Tebow keeps winning. Shouldn’t be. Some times a guy comes along who can inspire men to just line-up and knock your opponent on his ass. You’ve written about that before. Time could be ripe.

    on November 15, 2011.
  12. Johnny Jackrabbit said

    Tebow’s show was interesting, though I’m not sure Bill enjoys American football. I doubt his winning ways can last (just 2 completions against a so-so defense?)

    If he beats the Jets tomorrow night, you can call me a believer. Till then, I’m a hardened sceptic.

    on November 16, 2011.
  13. phelps said

    The Euros and their soccer. Watching grass grow is more exciting. Bill could have seen the jingoism on full display on sunday. Had a big red, white and blue thank you to the military and veterans. Stealth bomber fly-over and all that. Tebow was the real attraction. Game sold-out quick when everyone knew he was playing. Tebow will beat the Jets.

    on November 16, 2011.
  14. Bob Hadden said

    Would you please provide how I can access the documentary that had a link in your 11/15/2011 Daily Reckoning to “Obama’s Burning Shame Revealed” Thanks – Bob Hadden

    on November 16, 2011.
  15. Jim Hunt said

    Hi Bill,

    Me again, with my latest update on the fallout from another company man’s endeavours:

    http://econnexus.org/us-financial-regulators-rethink-dodd-frank-after-mf-global-scandal/

    Still no (re)solution in sight?

    Cheers,

    Jim

    on November 17, 2011.
  16. Roland said

    “Ultimately, the elite managers of Europe and America all went to the same schools (Harvard, Yale, MIT…)…all read the same newspapers and magazines (The Financial Times and The Economist)…all worship the same gods (money and power)…all speak the same language (mid-Atlantic English)…and all want to control the world.”

    Your best ever, Bill. You nailed it.

    There are lots of zombies out there, but some zombies are more powerful than others.

    on November 17, 2011.

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