“Non nobis solum nati sumus. (Not for ourselves alone are we born.)” — Marcus Tullius Cicero
Hallelujah! We’re saved! Praise [insert deity of choice here] for our merciful deliverance!
No longer will we be forced to endure the words “fiscal cliff” at every turn. No more will Fellow Reckoners be subjected to pointless speculation as to what might happen if we careen over said cliff. The phrase itself has been stricken from the English lexicon and, henceforth, anyone uttering the two words in tandem shall be banished from the intellectual landscape. Huzzah!
Well, not quite…
Despite an “11th hour” deal (which was quickly passed by both the Senate and then the House), it seems — at least for the immediate future — we are stuck with the term. Concerns over “what happens next” will no doubt encourage talking heads in the media to keep mentioning it and, though we’ll do our absolute best to avoid it, it’s possible the term will make an appearance in these pages as well, from time to time.
Of course, before this unfortunate collocation elbowed its way onto the nightly news, a different, decidedly more accurate phrase could be heard circling the airwaves. It describes the astoundingly offensive bipartisanship success that helped create the term “fiscal cliff” in the first place…long before the gasbagging politicos professed the audacity to try and disappear it. We are referring, of course, to the government’s longstanding policy of “kick the can.”
For the last decade, the US has played a dangerous game with its finances. To name but a few items on the government’s expense sheet: funding two (official) wars, bailing out its biggest banks and industries and continuing to “operate” an already bankrupt Social Security system. Its policies have created the largest debtor nation the world has ever seen…and have burdened an entire generation with an unbearable yoke of unfunded liabilities. Add to that the burden of student loan payments (to be repaid by a constituency that has a roughly 20% unemployment rate), and the solution seems almost unfathomable. Dan Amoss expressed as much in his essay “The Student Loan Time Bomb” back in November of last year.
“The default rate is horrendous,” Dan wrote, “and it’s only going to get worse. These are uncollateralized loans, so losses given default will be orders of magnitude higher than losses on subprime mortgages; in subprime, losses were mitigated by the value of housing collateral.”
It’s sad. And shameful. And it is, at least in part, owing to an overall sense that “more is better,” a misnomer that seems to resonate with the entire populace. Our reckoner-in-chief, Bill Bonner, began expanding on the concept late last year while compiling his thoughts for an upcoming book.
“The most-important single feature of modern economies is growth,” Bill observed. “Without it, neither businesses, households nor governments can pay their bills. Without it, pension funds…private and public…go broke.”
Bill expounded on this point in his essay “Too Much of a Good Thing.” And so, as we continue our look back on 2012 — and how it was we that approached that now-infamous precipice — we’re proud to feature Bill’s essay, along with Dan’s “Student Loan Time Bomb”, in today’s Daily Reckoning Best of 2012 Series. Enjoy!
Greg Kadajskifor The Daily Reckoning
Greg Kadajski is the Associate Editor of The Daily Reckoning. He holds a BS from Towson University where he studied both English and Filmmaking. Since joining Agora Financial in 2006, he's been very closely involved in the overall production of The Daily Reckoning - reading, editing and occasionally contributing to the wide variety of material that appears in its pages. He lives in Baltimore, Maryland.
The past decade saw the U.S.A., the global superpower, a source of great ideas and innovations. Examples:
Credit default swap
Collateralize Debt Obligation (say what?)
To Big To Fail
$15 trillion debt and $1.5 trillion annual deficit don’t matter
Fannie May & Freddie Mac (who invented these stupid names?)
0.0% interest rate, forever
Bailout (but where is bailin?)
WMD (not, not in Iraq, but in Wall Street)
AAA rated mortgage back securities backed by AAA rates CDS
Socialism for the rich and capitalism for the poor
Outsource and downsize
What will 2013 bring? How about:
This country use to have producers and users. Producers took risk to make profit. Users, some worked for producers, consumed.
As risk is now UN-assessable and our countries produced profits are nil,
our countries producers have converted to users and production has
shifted elsewhere. As a country of all users there will come a time when
the producers will demand payment in something that they value. It
won’t be Federal Reserve Notes.
We can intimidate the world with our empire for only so long……….get prepared.
And don’t forget Derivitives
All paper currency has a shelf life. It could be 5 years or 500 years, but at some point, the value of any paper currency eventually reaches zero. That's why, for centuries, people have turned to one shiny metal to safeguard their personal store of wealth. And, as Jim Rickards explains, you still have that option. Read on...
Bad things have a funny way of happening in October. Remember October 1929? It raised the curtain on the Great Depression. Or maybe you recall the infamous Black Monday crash in 1987. The Dow tumbled 22%— the largest single day loss ever. Guess what? That was in October, too. The 19th to be exact. Notice a trend here? Fast forward to this October... You know what happened this month. And if all that wild market action kneeds you in the gut, here’s what you should do now. Greg Guenthner explains…
The economist Milton Friedman didn’t go far enough when he said, “Concentrated power is not rendered harmless by the good intentions of those who create it.” Oftentimes, that power is rendered more harmful -- to the point of Hormegeddon -- the better the intentions behind it. In today's essay, Bill Bonner highlights the conditions necessary for popular delusions and the disasters they lead to. Read on...
Right now, health care makes up about 25% of the federal budget. A scary statistic to be sure... But here's an even scarier one: health care's portion of the federal budget doubles roughly every 20 years. Yikes! Addison Wiggin explains why this is and what needs to change to prevent health care from taking up half the federal budget. Read on...
Is your government too big? Find out in today’s Laissez Faire Today with six “red flags” to look out for. Chris Campbell covers everything from one ObamaCare whistleblower to the strange case of our new Ebola czar. Read on…