The Bond Bubble's Back
Just when you thought the bond bubble was being saved for another day…
The government managed to auction $39 billion worth of 5-year debt yesterday… barely. Wednesday’s debt sale drew a bid-to-cover ratio of 1.92, the lowest investor demand since September 2008. Low demand forced Uncle Sam to jack up interest rates at the last minute in two separate bond auctions this week — yesterday’s sale and Tuesday’s $42 billion auction of 2-year notes.
So what’s an indebted government to do? Manipulate the market, of course. Bond yields have given back yesterday’s spike partly thanks to the Federal Reserve, which bought $3 billion in U.S. bonds yesterday. They’ve announced their intention to buy again today, which will bump its total purchases of U.S. Treasuries to over $222 billion since March 25.
The U.S. government has already shoved more than $1 trillion in bonds down the market’s throat this year. They’ll likely issue another trillion before 2010. Another $28 billion in 7-year notes will be pawned off today… might be worth keeping an eye on.