The Daily Reckoning PRESENTS: As Congressman Ron Paul pointed out in the first part of this essay, the American people are fed up for a lot of legitimate reasons…but almost all polls show the mess in Iraq leads the list of why the anger is so intense. Read on…
WHY ARE AMERICANS SO ANGRY? – PART IIby Hon. Ron Paul
Short wars, with well-defined victories, are tolerated by the American people even when they are misled as to the reasons for the war. Wars entered into without a proper declaration tend to be politically motivated and not for national security reasons. These wars, by their very nature, are prolonged, costly, and usually require a new administration to finally end them.
This certainly was true with the Korean and Vietnam wars. The lack of a quick military success, the loss of life and limb, and the huge economic costs of lengthy wars precipitate anger. This is overwhelmingly true when the war propaganda that stirred up illegitimate fears is exposed as a fraud. Most soon come to realize the promise of guns and butter is an illusion. They come to understand that inflation, a weak economy, and a prolonged war without real success are the reality.
The anger over the Iraq war is multifaceted. Some are angry believing they were lied to in order to gain their support at the beginning. Others are angry that the forty billion dollars we spend every year on intelligence gathering failed to provide good information. Proponents of the war too often are unable to admit the truth. They become frustrated with the progress of the war and then turn on those wanting to change course, angrily denouncing them as unpatriotic and un-American.
Those accused are quick to respond to the insulting charges made by those who want to fight on forever without regard to casualties. Proponents of the war do not hesitate to challenge the manhood of war critics, accusing them of wanting to cut and run. Some war supporters ducked military service themselves while others fought and died, only adding to the anger of those who have seen battle up close and now question our campaign in Iraq.
When people see a $600 million embassy being built in Baghdad, while funding for services here in the United States is hard to obtain, they become angry. They can’t understand why the money is being spent, especially when they are told by our government that we have no intention of remaining permanently in Iraq.
The bickering and anger will not subside soon, since victory in Iraq is not on the horizon and a change in policy is not likely either.
The neoconservative instigators of the war are angry at everyone: at the people who want to get out of Iraq; and especially at those prosecuting the war for not bombing more aggressively, sending in more troops, and expanding the war into Iran.
As our country becomes poorer due to the cost of the war, anger surely will escalate. Much of it will be justified.
It seems bizarre that it’s so unthinkable to change course if the current policy is failing. Our leaders are like a physician who makes a wrong diagnosis and prescribes the wrong medicine, but because of his ego can’t tell the patient he made a mistake. Instead he hopes the patient will get better on his own. But instead of improving, the patient gets worse from the medication wrongly prescribed. This would be abhorrent behavior in medicine, but tragically it is commonplace in politics.
If the truth is admitted, it would appear that the lives lost and the money spent have been in vain. Instead, more casualties must be sustained to prove a false premise. What a tragedy! If the truth is admitted, imagine the anger of all the families that already have suffered such a burden. That burden is softened when the families and the wounded are told their great sacrifice was worthy, and required to preserve our freedoms and our Constitution.
But no one is allowed to ask the obvious. How have the 2,500 plus deaths, and the 18,500 wounded, made us more free? What in the world does Iraq have to do with protecting our civil liberties here at home? What national security threat prompted America’s first pre-emptive war? How does our unilateral enforcement of UN resolutions enhance our freedoms?
These questions aren’t permitted. They are not politically correct. I agree that the truth hurts, and these questions are terribly hurtful to the families that have suffered so much. What a horrible thought it would be to find out the cause for which we fight is not quite so noble.
I don’t believe those who hide from the truth and refuse to face the reality of the war do so deliberately. The pain is too great. Deep down, psychologically, many are incapable of admitting such a costly and emotionally damaging error. They instead become even greater and more determined supporters of the failed policy.
I would concede that there are some – especially the die-hard neoconservatives, who believe it is our moral duty to spread American goodness through force and remake the Middle East – who neither suffer regrets nor are bothered by the casualties. They continue to argue for more war without remorse, as long as they themselves do not have to fight. Criticism is reserved for the wimps who want to “cut and run.”
Due to the psychological need to persist with the failed policy, the war proponents must remain in denial of many facts staring them in the face.
We have provided a tremendous incentive for Russia and China, and others like Iran, to organize through the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. They entertain future challenges to our plans to dominate South East Asia, the Middle East, and all its oil.
Radicalizing the Middle East will in the long term jeopardize Israel’s security, and increase the odds of this war spreading.
War supporters cannot see that for every Iraqi killed, another family turns on us – regardless of who did the killing. We are and will continue to be blamed for every wrong done in Iraq: all deaths, illness, water problems, food shortages, and electricity outages.
As long as our political leaders persist in these denials, the war won’t end. The problem is that this is the source of the anger, because the American people are not in denial and want a change in policy.
Policy changes in wartime are difficult, for it is almost impossible for the administration to change course since so much emotional energy has been invested in the effort. That’s why Eisenhower ended the Korean War, and not Truman. That’s why Nixon ended the Vietnam War, and not LBJ. Even in the case of Vietnam the end was too slow and costly, as more then 30,000 military deaths came after Nixon’s election in 1968. It makes a lot more sense to avoid unnecessary wars than to overcome the politics involved in stopping them once started. I personally am convinced that many of our wars could be prevented by paying stricter attention to the method whereby our troops are committed to battle. I also am convinced that when Congress does not declare war, victory is unlikely.
The most important thing Congress can do to prevent needless and foolish wars is for every member to take seriously his or her oath to obey the Constitution. Wars should be entered into only after great deliberation and caution. Wars that are declared by Congress should reflect the support of the people, and the goal should be a quick and successful resolution.
Our undeclared wars over the past 65 years have dragged on without precise victories. We fight to spread American values, to enforce UN resolutions, and to slay supposed Hitlers. We forget that we once spread American values by persuasion and setting an example – not by bombs and preemptive invasions. Nowhere in the Constitution are we permitted to go to war on behalf of the United Nations at the sacrifice of our national sovereignty. We repeatedly use military force against former allies, thugs we helped empower – like Saddam Hussein and Osama bin Laden – even when they pose no danger to us.
The 2002 resolution allowing the president to decide when and if to invade Iraq is an embarrassment. The Constitution authorizes only Congress to declare war. Our refusal to declare war transferred power to the president illegally, without a constitutional amendment. Congress did this with a simple resolution, passed by majority vote. This means Congress reneged on its responsibility as a separate branch of government, and should be held accountable for the bad policy in Iraq that the majority of Americans are now upset about. Congress is every bit as much at fault as the president.
Constitutional questions aside, the American people should have demanded more answers from their government before they supported the invasion and occupation of a foreign country.
Some of the strongest supporters of the war declare that we are a Christian nation, yet use their religious beliefs to justify the war. They claim it is our Christian duty to remake the Middle East and attack the Muslim infidels. Evidently I have been reading from a different Bible. I remember something about “Blessed are the peacemakers.”
My beliefs aside, Christian teaching of nearly a thousand years reinforces the concept of “The Just War Theory.” This Christian theory emphasizes six criteria needed to justify Christian participation in war. Briefly the six points are as follows:
War should be fought only in self defense;War should be undertaken only as a last resort;A decision to enter war should be made only by a legitimate authority;All military responses must be proportional to the threat;There must be a reasonable chance of success; andA public declaration notifying all parties concerned is required.
The war in Iraq fails to meet almost all of these requirements. This discrepancy has generated anger and division within the Christian community.
Some are angry because the war is being fought out of Christian duty, yet does not have uniform support from all Christians. Others are angry because they see Christianity as a religion as peace and forgiveness, not war and annihilation of enemies.
Constitutional and moral restraints on war should be strictly followed. It is understandable when kings, dictators, and tyrants take their people into war, since it serves their selfish interests – and those sent to fight have no say in the matter. It is more difficult to understand why democracies and democratic legislative bodies, which have a say over the issue of war, so readily submit to the executive branch of government. The determined effort of the authors of our Constitution to firmly place the power to declare war in the legislative branch has been ignored in the decades following WWII.
Many members have confided in me that they are quite comfortable with this arrangement. They flatly do not expect, in this modern age, to formally declare war ever again. Yet no one predicts there will be fewer wars fought. It is instead assumed they will be ordered by the executive branch or the United Nations– a rather sad commentary.
What about the practical arguments against war, since no one seems interested in exerting constitutional or moral restraints? Why do we continue to fight prolonged, political wars when the practical results are so bad? Our undeclared wars since 1945 have been very costly, to put it mildly. We have suffered over one hundred thousand military deaths, and even more serious casualties. Tens of thousands have suffered from serious war-related illnesses. Sadly, we as a nation express essentially no concern for the millions of civilian casualties in the countries where we fought.
The cost of war since 1945, and our military presence in over 100 countries, exceeds two trillion dollars in today’s dollars. The cost in higher taxes, debt, and persistent inflation is immeasurable. Likewise, the economic opportunities lost by diverting trillions of dollars into war is impossible to measure, but it is huge. Yet our presidents persist in picking fights with countries that pose no threat to us, refusing to participate in true diplomacy to resolve differences. Congress over the decades has never resisted the political pressures to send our troops abroad on missions that defy imagination.
When the people object to a new adventure, the propaganda machine goes into action to make sure critics are seen as unpatriotic Americans or even traitors.
The military-industrial complex we were warned about, has been transformed into a military-media-industrial-government complex that is capable of silencing the dissenters and cheerleading for war. It’s only after years of failure that people are able to overcome the propaganda for war and pressure their representatives in Congress to stop the needless killing. Many times the economic costs of war stir people to demand an end. This time around the war might be brought to a halt by our actual inability to pay the bills due to a dollar crisis. A dollar crisis will make borrowing 2.5 billion dollars per day from foreign powers like China and Japan virtually impossible, at least at affordable interest rates.
That’s when we will be forced to reassess the spending spree, both at home and abroad.
The solution to this mess is not complicated; but the changes needed are nearly impossible for political reasons. Sound free market economics, sound money, and a sensible foreign policy would all result from strict adherence to the Constitution. If the people desired it, and Congress was filled with responsible members, a smooth although challenging transition could be achieved. Since this is unlikely, we can only hope that the rule of law and the goal of liberty can be reestablished without chaos.
We must move quickly toward a more traditional American foreign policy of peace, friendship, and trade with all nations; entangling alliances with none. We must reject the notion that we can or should make the world safe for democracy. We must forget about being the world’s policeman. We should disengage from the unworkable and unforgiving task of nation building. We must reject the notion that our military should be used to protect natural resources, private investments, or serve the interest of any foreign government or the United Nations. Our military should be designed for one purpose: defending our national security. It’s time to come home now, before financial conditions or military weakness dictates it.
The major obstacle to a sensible foreign policy is the fiction about what patriotism means. Today patriotism has come to mean blind support for the government and its policies. In earlier times patriotism meant having the willingness and courage to challenge government policies regardless of popular perceptions.
Today we constantly hear innuendos and direct insults aimed at those who dare to challenge current foreign policy, no matter how flawed that policy may be. I would suggest it takes more courage to admit the truth, to admit mistakes, than to attack others as unpatriotic for disagreeing with the war in Iraq.
Remember, the original American patriots challenged the abuses of King George, and wrote and carried out the Declaration of Independence.
Yes, Mr. Speaker, there is a lot of anger in this country. Much of it is justified; some of it is totally unnecessary and misdirected. The only thing that can lessen this anger is an informed public, a better understanding of economic principles, a rejection of foreign intervention, and a strict adherence to the constitutional rule of law. This will be difficult to achieve, but it’s not impossible and well worth the effort.
Congressman Ron Paulfor The Daily ReckoningJuly 13, 2006
Editor’s Note: Congressman Ron Paul of Texas enjoys a national reputation as the premier advocate for liberty in politics today. Dr. Paul is the leading spokesman in Washington for limited constitutional government, low taxes, free markets, and a return to sound monetary policies based on commodity-backed currency. He is known among both his colleagues in Congress and his constituents for his consistent voting record in the House of Representatives: Dr. Paul never votes for legislation unless the proposed measure is expressly authorized by the Constitution. In the words of former Treasury Secretary William Simon, Dr. Paul is the “one exception to the Gang of 535″ on Capitol Hill.
To learn more about Dr. Paul, see here:
Congressman Ron Paul
There is theory. And there are the facts. And often, the twain do not meet. At least, not nearly as often as they should.
We note, for example, that Nanjing Automobile, owner of what used to be MG of Birmingham, England, has decided to build a manufacturing plant in Ardmore, Oklahoma. Nanjing joins Toyota, Honda, Nissan, and Hyundai with auto manufacturing plants all over the United States. We have written more than once that high U.S. labor costs make manufacturing a losing business in America. But U.S. labor costs only seem to be a problem for U.S. companies. Apparently, everyone can make money building cars in America – except Americans.
We don’t know what to make of it, so we will leave it alone and return to facts that are more convenient.
The U.S. trade gap grew in May to $63.8 billion. But take away oil imports, and the gap actually fell. This is what we expect. Americans are running out of money. They can’t afford to continue buying oil and buying more junk, too. Something’s got to give, and it will be junk. Consumer spending, at least on the more frivolous items, will fall…we are sure.
More evidence of this comes from Las Vegas, which, according to Reuters, is feeling the pinch of higher fuel prices and squeezed family budgets. Las Vegas is a playground for Middle America. When the lumpen run short of money, Las Vegas shrivels.
We find that Disney, also nourished on the blood of the middle classes, is “slashing jobs.”
And now comes news that commodities are rising across the board. Now comes news that that nickel has hit a new high of $26,600 a metric ton, oil is over $74, and gold is trading over $650 an ounce. Corn and wheat are at 10-year highs. This, too, fits nicely into our theory. While Americans run out of dollars, foreigners have plenty of them. They’re bidding up prices on the things that are not easily “Made in China.”
We see also that the yield on the two-year note is higher than the yield on the 10-year. This inverted yield curve also suggests, foretells, or perhaps even creates a weakening economy. In America, the Bernanke Fed has already cranked hard on the tap. Rumor has it that it will give it another 25-basis-point twist next month.
How does Ben Bernanke know exactly what rate the world needs? If he could know such a thing, why not ask him to set the price of sugar, copper, and iPods, too? No, neither the chairman of the Princeton economics department nor the chairman of the Fed can know what isn’t knowable – the exact rate at which lenders would lend and borrowers would borrow if they didn’t have the Fed fixing prices.
Of course, that is not really what the Fed chief is trying to do, either. He is not figuring out an unknown, but fighting an unseen. Instead of letting the economy blow whither its lists, Bernanke has a theory of his own about whither it should be listing. He is simply not going to go along with the trend, whatever that might be. He’s fighting it, whatever it is. He’s determined to deliver a knockout blow to inflation, before it even appears. He’ll do this to reassure bond buyers, mortgage lenders and overseas dollar-holders of what he himself is unsure of. And then, as soon as his flanks are covered, he’ll march his army down to face deflation.
But if our theory is right, the poor man will succeed all too well in his first battle, and lose his second. America, finally, will follow Japan into a “lost decade.” Maybe more than a decade. Maybe a lost generation.
More news from our team at The Rude Awakening…
Chris Mayer, reporting from Gaithersburg, Maryland:
“Sensing an opportunity, an enterprising individual by the name of Donald McKenzie assembled some investors to acquire the rights to supply the city with water. The year was 1866.”
For the rest of this story, and for more market insights, see today’s issue of The Rude Awakening.
And more thoughts from between London and Paris…
*** Hank Paulson was officially sworn in a Secretary of the Treasury this past Monday – and Comptroller of the United States, David Walker, has some sound advice for him:
“The nation has gone from significant surpluses to huge deficits. Our nation’s ‘bottom line has turned bright red due to the ‘double whammy’ of rapid spending increases and significant tax cuts.
“Worse yet, over the past several years the nation’s tab has more than doubled to over $400,000 per household. That tab is for our nation’s debt and unfunded promises for things like Social Security and Medicare, including the new prescription drug bill.
“No one really knows how much longer foreign central banks and other investors will be willing to finance our excess consumption. If they cut back on investment in our debt, interest rates are likely to head up, and that’s bad news for all of us.
“To avoid this, we need meaningful budget controls on both the spending and tax sides of the ledger. We need a capable, credible and truly bipartisan entitlement and tax reform commission.
“And we need to increase transparency in our federal government’s financial reporting, budgeting and legislative processes. The poster child that makes the case for this is the Medicare prescription drug bill. Its $8 trillion price tag was never disclosed or debated before the bill became law.
“For the sake of our country, our children and our grandchildren, the President’s new economic team needs to change past policies and approaches. And the Congress needs to get more serious about our fiscal situation, too.
“Otherwise, our short-term economic gain will likely be followed by significant long-term economic pain.”
David Walker told USA Today that the United States could be likened to Rome before the fall of the empire – that the U.S. has all of the qualities is an empire on the decline.
Of course, we agree…so much so that we’ve written a book on it (you know the one), which we are subsequently turning into a documentary – and we start shooting at the upcoming Agora Financial Wealth Symposium in Vancouver.
If you are going to be attending the Wealth Symposium and have some thoughts to share on the financial state of the United States, or the fall of the U.S. Empire…or if you just want to let us know what crackpots we are for starting this project, contact Short Fuse at firstname.lastname@example.org. You could be a movie star!
*** We are headed back to Paris this morning, riding on a train line funded by unhappy investors. The EuroTunnel cannot make its debt payments. According to reports this morning, its collapse is imminent. Junior lenders can expect to get back only four cents on the dollar.
The England-France train connection – the aforementioned Eurostar – has become a critical part of our lives. We make the trip almost every week. It is comfortable. Convenient. Even pleasant, when it is not crowded with tourists.
So, we would like to thank all those hundreds of thousands of investors who saved, and then sacrificed their money so that we can ride back and forth under the English Channel at less than the actual cost. Heck, we don’t even pay for it. Instead, we trade advertising space in our English financial magazine.
And we would like a moment of silence…to remember all those millions of dollars spent building this money-losing colossus. They have all gone to money heaven. RIP
*** Remember crop circles? We read about them many years ago, but this is the first time we have actually seen one.
If we recall correctly, back in the 1970s people began to notice spots in the middle of wheat fields – in Britain – where the crop had been cut away in a perfect circle. Often, there were many circles, and sometimes other patterns. Many explanations were offered, including that the circles were made by extraterrestrials, but we never saw a definitive conclusion.
This morning, about 45 minutes after leaving London’s Waterloo Station, we looked out to our right, and there was a crop circle, about 20 feet wide, in the middle of a field of what we took to be wheat. It was striking in that it seemed to have been perfectly executed, with looping arcs of petals coming off the circle at regular intervals. Around it, there was no sign of damage or passage. Whoever did it, did it well. We don’t recall anything nearly so well-executed in the modern art world.
*** More to the head-butting story: French philosopher Bernard-Henri Levy has made a reputation for himself by writing claptrap. BHL, as he is known, is a regular on TV and in magazines. And now he explains Zinedine Zidane’s World Cup attack on Marco Materazzi as an “interior revolt,” or the “suicide of a demi-god.”
We should ask him his opinion on the bond market.
Dr. Ron Paul is a Republican member of Congress from Texas and perhaps the only voice in Washington still advocating "limited" government in the Jeffersonian tradition. He has delivered several stunning addresses before Congress, including: "Sorry, Mr. Franklin, We Are All Democrats Now" and "We've Been Neo-Conned." Ron Paul is also the author of The Revolution: A Manifesto , A Foreign Policy of Freedom: Peace, Commerce, and Honest Friendship , and Pillars of Prosperity .
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