Matt Insley

There’s a sneaky trend that’s been filtering through the market in the past few days – have you seen it?

In particular some large-cap, dividend-paying companies have started altering their dividend payout schedule.

Surprisingly these household names are chomping at the bit to pay out money SOONER than later. Sound a little strange? It should. Let’s have a look…

“Imagine for a minute that you come from an incredibly rich family… you’re old money,” Jim Nelson, our in-house dividend expert, wrote to his paid-up readers.

“And let’s say” he continues, “that your money comes from some massive holding in a multibillion-dollar company that your father built. With uncertainty in D.C. today surrounding tax rates, specifically dividend tax rates, you would do everything you could to make sure your next dividend arrived by the end of this year, rather than January.”

The Waltons (the heirs to “Wal-Mart” fortune) are in exactly that same boat, Nelson explains.

“The three sons and one daughter-in-law of Sam Walton are worth about $30 billion each — placing them in ninth, 10th, 11th and 12th place on the richest people list. Most of that wealth is still in Wal-Mart Stores Inc. stock” he says.

“So when the board of directors over at WMT decided to move up their (and our) fourth-quarter dividend payment from Jan. 2 to Dec. 27, it made their day.”

Add it all up and, if Washington fails to act in the face of the fiscal cliff, the Waltons saved $180 million in taxes!

That’s an impressive move – and Wal-mart isn’t the only company making strange, pre-cliff moves, either….

“You can add Costco to the rapidly growing list of companies instituting special dividends ahead of the looming fiscal cliff” the Wall Street Journal reports.

It’s a sneaky trend to be sure. Frankly, I’m surprised stories like this aren’t making the front page of every newspaper in America.

This trend is also important to our resource holdings. After all, if the general market gets the proverbial rug pulled from under it – many of the plays we cover here on a daily basis stand to be discounted. Short-term commodity prices could fall too.

As I hinted the other day, there’s plenty of ambiguity in today’s market. Your editor, along with any other working class American, doesn’t even know what his paycheck is going to look like come the first payday in January! That’s a mess.

Heh, I wish I could pull my first paycheck forward so I could save a little cash like the Waltons. But alas, I’m at the whims of Congress. And I’d assume you are too.

Heck, just about the only thing you can count on from the government going forward is a continued trend of wasting money and general disregard for YOUR personal well-being. That is, unless you’re on food stamps (a whole different bag of worms all together!)

But that’s the investing climate we find ourselves today. It’s getting scarier by the day, too.

Another Agora Financial stalwart puts it this way:

“We’re in the midst of a general market sell-down” says the intrepid Byron King. “Indeed, it’s fair to say that there’s a perfect storm of market-negative material hitting the walls out there.”

Take a look at Byron’s depressing list on the subject:

  • Post-election nervousness about an Obama second term, a Democrat-controlled Senate and a Republican-controlled House. Policy weirdness, higher taxes and political gridlock, anyone?
  • The looming, U.S. government fiscal cliff, and large tax increases scheduled to hit the books in 2013. I’ve been writing about this for several months, as my paid-up readers know.
  • End of year selling to lock in capital gains (or losses), and/or to avoid next year’s tax increases.
  • Continuing weakness in the European economy, with little joy looming for the U.S. economy as well.
  • Concern about the decade-long “China Story,” including new, hard-line Leninist-oriented leadership, and investor concern over the lingering slowdown in China’s economic growth.
  • Rising tensions in the Middle East. The Islamist revolution proceeds apace, now openly targeting monarchies (Jordan, Saudi, Bahrain, etc.), after taking out a series of old-guard dictators (Tunisia, Libya, Egypt, eventually Syria, etc.). Meanwhile, Israel is shooting back at its opponents in Gaza and Syria, with a war in Lebanon looming, while Iran reliably stirs the boiling pot of troubles.

“I could go on, but surely you get the idea” Byron says.

I sincerely wish I had better news for you, dear reader, but in the short-term I’ve got nothing. (Long-term you can look at Chris Mayer’s recent write-up – for sure, the U.S. is home to vast opportunity in the years to come.)

Today, though, and in the coming 30 days: buyer beware.

“What to do?” Byron King asks rhetorically. “Among other things,” he answers, “stick with short-term cash, long-term precious metals (take delivery!), and investments in high value energy and mineral resources.”

That’s about as solid advice as you’ll find these days.

As usual, I like to keep you abreast as to what I’d do in a situation like this. And today I like the idea of ultra-short-term, dry powder.

The way I see it, there’s not much risk in taking a few bucks off the table here and there, for the next 30-45 days. Clearing up a little pre-cliff cash could put you in position to buy some of our favorite resource plays on the cheap.

Keep your boots muddy (and a little of your powder dry),

Matt Insley

Original article posted on Daily Resource Hunter 

Matt Insley

Matt Insley is the managing editor of The Daily Resource Hunter and now the co-editor of Real Wealth Trader and Outstanding Investments. Matt is the Agora Financial in-house specialist on commodities and natural resources. He holds a degree from the University of Maryland with a double major in Business and Environmental Economics. Although always familiar with the financial markets, his main area of expertise stems from his background in the Agricultural and Natural Resources (AGNR) department. Over the past years he's stayed well ahead of the curve with forward thinking ideas in both resource stocks and hard commodities. Insley's commentary has been featured by MarketWatch.

Recent Articles

Peter Thiel Explains What Backs the U.S. Dollar

Chris Mayer

In a recent interview, Peter Thiel gave a simple and clear explanation of what gives the U.S. dollar its power. “It surprised me,” writes Chris Mayer, “because I had not heard anyone but fringe economists give it. And yet it is the key to understanding modern money.” Chris revisits the idea… including some radical ideas “that will change the way you think of money and the economy forever.”


Could Steak Really Cause Arthritis?

Stephen Petranek

Can you really eat more salt? Is arthritis caused by steak? Are artificial sweeteners really Satan’s sugar? Stephen Petranek comes clean about 2014’s wackiest health recommendations in his new series on “The Truth About MD Warnings.”


Now’s the Time to Buy Housing Stocks – While They’re Cheap

Greg Guenthner

So let me point out one of the new clues for you: construction hiring is actually on the mend after years of decline. Contractors added 48,000 jobs in December, according to the latest numbers. Full-year numbers were also better than expected, clocking in at 9-year highs. Why is no one talking about that?


The Currency Wars’ “Pearl Harbor”

James Rickards

The most dramatic battle yet in the currency wars took place last Thursday. It was the financial equivalent of a Pearl Harbor sneak attack. Jim Rickards has the full story... what it means moving forward... and a lesson for all gold investors...


Why Oil Can’t Stay Cheap

Byron King

As consumers, you want to see low prices at the pump. But for investors who've been riding the American fracking boom, are these low prices a death knell? Byron’s advice to you, as an investor with exposure to energy stocks, is to not panic in the face of short-term market turmoil. And Byron’s got two picks primed to rebound…