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No Gold. No Silver. Just Inflation and Hotcakes.

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04/07/09 Tampa Bay, Florida Bloomberg.com had a report by Kim-Mai Cutler saying, “Currencies of countries that are using quantitative easing, or printing money to buy government or corporate bonds, are plunging against those of nations sticking to conventional monetary policy” which surprised me because I did not know of any big economies that were “sticking to [the] conventional monetary policy” of not creating excess money and credit, which makes their currencies strong, but I know of plenty of them that are “sticking to [the] conventional monetary policy” of constantly creating too much money and credit because that is the bizarre bastardization of the economic system that has evolved! Hahaha!

In fact, all countries seem to be in a rush to participate in a disgusting orgy of government deficit-spending, which would be a sign of global mental-illness unless they were using this money to buy gold and declare a gold standard for their currencies, which is what I would do to insure a currency so strong that I got cheap imports of goods, services and raw materials, thus keeping inflation low and delivering a higher standard of living for all the citizens, for which they would regularly gather and have “Thank You, Mogambo (TYM)” parties, sort of like midnight at Mardi Gras in New Orleans, except not as reserved in relative behavior as that Louisiana bunch of prudes.

Jim McCormick of Citigroup is not impressed with how the phrase “Show us your boobs!” is mysteriously common to both Mardi Gras and Hail Mogambo! Parties Of Thanks (HM!POT), and says only that “The foreign-exchange market has clearly gotten its arms around the notion that quantitative easing is a negative for currencies.”

Well, this makes you want to ask “Where in the hell has the foreign-exchange market been all this time that they are just now finding out that a country stupid enough to abuse a fiat currency to create excess money and credit, leading to inflationary bubbles of speculative frenzy and resultant excesses in the prices of assets such as stocks, bonds, houses and size of government, and then try to spend its way out of bankruptcy by creating huge NEW multiples of NEW money and credit so that the buying power of the dollar falls to (in the original Latin) ‘squatus stinkum’, is, after all this time, now ‘a negative’ for its currency? Hahaha!”

Not too surprisingly, then, the dollar index sank a staggering and heart-stopping 4.1% last week, taking the index back to 83.8. This is, also surprisingly, still a lot higher, and for no good reason that I can think of except that all the other currencies are even more worthless, than its low of the low 70s in 2008.

I’ll bet that if the foreign exchange markets don’t know that the currency of a nation of fiscal and monetary idiots was “a negative for currencies”, then I guess that they also don’t know that gold and silver, when priced in the currencies of fiscal and monetary idiots, will soar as the currency falls in buying power, which is so elementary that I am shocked that they are that stupid!

Before you start thinking that everyone is stupid, I met a guy named Art Arbutine, of BellaireCoins.com, and I casually asked him “How much gold are you selling these days?” and he surprisingly says “None.”

Well, I used the word “surprisingly” precisely because this was kind of surprising to me, as I had been hearing that gold is selling like hotcakes, which is an expression that you don’t hear much these days, probably not too surprisingly because I never heard of hotcakes being big sellers and thus giving rise to the expression.

Waffles, maybe, but not hotcakes. Crepes, maybe, but not hotcakes, although, now that I think about it, it’s been a long time since I had hotcakes, and maybe I’m being hasty in my rush to judgment!

So there I am, trying not to think about hotcakes and how hungry I am, or how some hotcakes would really hit the spot right now, maybe with a side of bacon, various syrups and toppings with a cup of coffee, when I suddenly remember that he said that he is selling no gold! Huh?

So I suspiciously ask him, “Why not?” and he says that when people come into his shop and want to buy gold, he tells them that he doesn’t have any gold to sell them because there is no gold for him to buy to turn around and sell to them, and that is why he told me that he sells no gold.

I could tell by the slight smirk on his face that he thinks it is “Art 1, Mogambo 0”, but I am going protest the score because more and more you hear those kinds of “no supply” things, what with stories of South African gold mines shutting down, and the U.S. Mint suspending production, and shipment schedules, and silver comes mainly as a by-product of base metal mining which is effectively stopped nowadays and blah blah blah, a blizzard of facts and crucial interconnections, none of which I have straight.

However, it does bring up the question, “Hash browns with hotcakes, yes or no?” which is not even mentioning the puzzling paradox of “With rising demand but zero supply, why is gold not shooting To The Freaking Moon (TTFM) in price, on its way to infinity dollars per ounce, which would be a mathematical imperative of a supply/demand dynamic where the price of gold cannot be determined by the market-clearing point where demand equals supply because supply is always is zero, regardless of the price”! Wow!

This is, indeed, Twilight Zone weird, trapped in some kind of spooky nether-world beyond space and time, between light and shadow, between the depths of despair and the heights of imagination where the Laws of Economics do not apply any longer, but the Laws of Physics still work 24/7, and you still have to work at your same stupid job, and you are married to the same stupid person and you have the same stupid kids as the ones you had in the “other world” where the Laws of Economics still worked, which shows how unfair life is.

My wife and her stupid friends in “this” parallel reality say that I am acting childishly, whining about how life is “unfair” and how I imagine that I am in some parallel universe where immutable “laws” of nature simply disappear, like how a price of something does not rise even though demand is increasing and supply is zero! Amazing!

Of course, this could be easily explained by the Mogambo Gold Conspiracy Theory (MGCT), which, as I recall, I stole directly, line by line, from GATA.org because I am too unimaginative and too stupid to think of it on my own, and too desperate to save my career to be stopped by mere plagiarism when I am, like a diseased, cornered rat in a do-or-die situation, capable of so, so much more.

The Executive Summary is how the Fed and the other central banks around the world have been conspiring among themselves to suppress the price of gold so that the price would not rise, which would alarm a lot of people since a rising gold price means rising consumer prices, who would then start asking a lot of questions, and then everyone would find out “Hey! Inflation in prices is soaring, just like that Idiot Mogambo Lowlife (IML) said it would after such suicidal increases in government deficit-spending and the Federal Reserve increasing the money supply to pay for it, and now we are screwed and need to buy Mogambo Mindless-Mob Brand Riot Gear (MMMBRG) while supplies last in our displays of open rebellion! I hope operators are standing by!”

Well, you can relax on that score, as an operator is standing by in case someone is so stupid as to send me money for some purported Mogambo Brand product that may or may not actually exist; but as for the price of gold rising in the face of inflation, it is no secret that the Fed and the other central bankers have been releasing gold into the market to keep the price down, and they have literally admitted it, as GATA.org has laboriously documented, especially after being counseled to do so by Paul Volcker, famous former chairman of the Federal Reserve, in his book, who said that not controlling the price of gold was the biggest mistake he made in his famous fight against inflation.

The surprising thing is not that he is selling twice as much silver bullion and numismatic coins than he ever sold, but that people are buying silver without even asking him how much it costs! They just want it!

Of course, what can one say in response to this except, “Whee! This investing stuff is easy!”

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The Mogambo Guru

Richard Daughty (Mogambo Guru) is general partner and COO for Smith Consultant Group, serving the financial and medical communities, and the writer/publisher of the Mogambo Guru economic newsletter, an avocational exercise to better heap disrespect on those who desperately deserve it. The Mogambo Guru is quoted frequently in Barron’s, The Daily Reckoning , and other fine publications.

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9 Responses

  1. (8?» said

    So, why doesn’t Art Arbutine buy gold from Tulving.com or any other online dealer with stock?

    My guess is that he is still one of those folks who think gold/silver spot market is correctly priced by the COMEX, while the physical dealers who have inventory are all charging “excessive premiums.”

    So, will it ever dawn on these people that the COMEX is a heavily discounted, manipulated, worthless piece of paper, while it is the physical dealers who are the ones setting the true market price?

    These dealers are either going to have to get over their fear of premiums, or go into a different business.

    on April 7, 2009.
  2. JMR ManDribble said

    Numismatics! Now that is a premium… Silver at ANY COST! That too is a premium. Coinage is the key to premiums and us lil’ peoples physical holdings. Bars for the Kings. Otherwise why not pick up 24k jewelry (it’s at a liquidation discount bargain)?… maybe a “24k” ring is as much a gamble as an ETF holding? Could be a swindle, that jewelry says I.

    I just want cheap beer and inflation is making that impossible.

    on April 7, 2009.
  3. 1shotrising said

    If you want gold at market prices, can’t you just buy a future and take delivery?

    on April 7, 2009.
  4. bureaucrat said

    I’m not sure how much the central banks selling gold is affecting this since most central banks seem to be stocking up on (buying) gold. It isn’t surprising for gold to be going down in a deflationary depression like we have right now. But if gold isn’t going up, and it isn’t, what exactly is going to MAKE it go up????

    on April 7, 2009.
  5. Matt Smyth said

    Bureaucrat- the IMF is selling gold, that was the only development out of the G20.

    How to make gold go up ? I have an idea…..

    Economic ethnic cleansing. Round up every keynsian on earth and hand shoot them.

    on April 8, 2009.
  6. Jeff said

    I’m pretty sure it’s the “buy a futures contract and take delivery” kinda thing. How many people have $900,000 in cash just lying around waiting to go somewhere. And then trying to sell that 1,000 oz bar later you will take a loss if prices stay the same because the buyer wants assay done, at your cost. Is it any wonder that most people just expose themselves to precious metals by buying silver at huge premiums but still it only takes lunch money

    on April 8, 2009.
  7. rdlamb said

    JMR, as far as the beer goes; brew your own. You can brew great beer at home. I consider that hobby my own personal tax revolt.

    on April 8, 2009.
  8. Ryan G said

    Dear Mr Mogambo,

    Firstly, thanks for ur articles.. the information you provide allows me to provide my workmates and friends with a variety of intelligent sounding comments, thus making me more acceptable as a person.

    Truth is, Im actually pretty stupid and I hope that my email is still acceptable for you to read given my stupidness.

    So here it is, I have a question, of which the answer may be obvious to you and everyone else.

    I agree “buy gold”.. or silver, or listen to the other heavy metals.. and I agree, make money while the gold shines – buy it at $299, sell it at $999.. Gotcha.

    Nixon ditched tha whole “paper dollars representing the heavy gold bars” rule 8 years before I was born and Im just wondering…

    If me in my stupididity :) was to rush out to a broker or whatever and BUY GOLD, surely its just going to be numbers on an invoice and all this expensive gold price hiking is based on people just buying more and more of these numbers, in turn, making themselves and each other, poorer and poorer?

    This is an honest question, Im not trying to be funny.

    Is it possible for me to buy like AU$300000 worth of gold and just tell my broker that I’ll be in to pick it up next week? Or to get the wholesaler or minesite or whoever it is im buying it from to ship it straight to my place? Maybe they can drop it off on their way home?

    Anyways, I made my little point and asked the question I wanted to ask you guys. Thanks in advance if you get a chance to reply!

    I guess its one thing to say how great gold is going, but are we buying something thats already ‘gone’ and eventually, we’re gonna be left with nothing but red dust?

    Or would it be intelligent to buy a gold mine instead, shares in a gold mine or shares in a company that can artificially produce gold – so that when the day comes and EVERYONE wants their gold – I can just start selling it to them directly?

    Im thinking maybe even buy a hawk/pawn place that only buys gold? They seem to know how little everything is worth and usually just manage to stay in afloat, God bless them.

    Okay, thanks & regards
    Ryan

    on April 9, 2009.
  9. Junior Mogambo Ranger #777 said

    From Junior Mogambo Ranger #777 to Ryan G

    I can only speak for myself, and if I am wrong it is my error and my error alone.

    First off, everybody is either wrong or stupid at some point in their lives.
    As we get older we learn more and we eventually learn To Learn, we learn from others, we test others wisdom, and we eventually get wise by learning from others.
    (We still learn from the Ancient Greeks, and Ancient Greek Philosophers are yet to be surpassed by today’s modern thinkers.)

    The gold issue-
    “If Me and my stupididty was to rush out to a broker or whatever and BUY GOLD, surely its just going to be numbers on an invoice and all this expensive gold price hiking is based on people just buying more and more of these numbers, in turn, making themselves and each other, poorer and poorer?”

    Actually what you are doing (or should be doing) is exchanging paper dollars (that will lose value over the long run) for gold (which will hold its value over the long run.) You are exchanging one form of money for another. It would be the same thing if you exchanged dollars for Euros, you want a form of money that will be good for goods and services elsewhere and will hold its value until you can exchange the Euros back into dollars.

    gold does the same thing. US Dollars today for gold today. Gold holdings exchanged for US Dollars in the future. Will gold exchange for a higher amount of paper dollars in the future? If inflation comes back then yes.

    “Is it possible for me to buy like AU$300000 worth of gold and just tell my broker that I’ll be in to pick it up next week?”
    That all depends if the broker (commodities borker?) actually has the gold ot deliver. commodity contracts have a clause in them that allows COMEX to exchange paper dollars for the contract instead of gold at COMEX’s discretion.

    I hope this is of some help to you.

    on April 10, 2009.

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