Greg Guenthner

One year can make a big difference.

In 2012, the market quietly jumped higher to start the year. No one cared.

Yet in 2013, it’s almost impossible to escape the coverage — and the worries that have come along with the news that stocks are close to new highs.

Thanks to some impending market milestones, investors can’t shake the feeling that disaster is nearby. The generally accepted market narrative for 2013 is that stocks are overinflated and due for a huge correction.

Most investors — along with the financial media — are so wrapped up in new highs that they have lost the ability to think straight. For some reason, everyone believes that the 2013 rally is some unprecedented event that has to immediately end in a meltdown.

But it’s not. In fact, the action we’re seeing in stocks this year isn’t even beating out the market’s start to 2012.

S&P 500 YTD Return 2012-2013

That’s what happens when you get stuck in the vortex of the big bear market — you tend to lose perspective.

In 2012, the market ended the year higher with little fanfare (with a couple of twists and turns, of course). Today, investors are losing their lunch over a 6% move…

But if you commit to following price action — instead of emotional news stories — you can get a leg up on this market. No, stocks won’t go straight up forever. But during the quick January push higher and the consolidation we’ve seen so far this month, price action has been orderly, healthy, and downright bullish.

You don’t need to sell here and lock yourself in the basement. There’s plenty of upside potential left. Let price guide you — not hysteria.

Greg Guenthner
for The Daily Reckoning

Greg Guenthner

Greg Guenthner, CMT, is the managing editor of The Rude Awakening. Greg is a member of the Market Technicians Association and holds the Chartered Market Technician designation.

  • waffenss

    stocks are way over priced, all the gains are with zombie dollars(QE12&3), in a completely dead economy. look at what is going on with the U.S. currency in overseas trading, especially with “third world” currencies.

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