Rocky Vega

The International Monetary Fund’s managing director, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, has pointed out that the global is economy is built upon a destabilizing and dangerous combination: emerging economies, where brisk growth has created two-tiered societies with rich and poor on hugely unequal footings, and developed nations, that are still wracked with high unemployment and have little relief in sight.

He suggests these imbalances are igniting the breed of deep-seated animosity that can lead to civil wars, especially in those countries with the largest wealth disparities and highest unemployment.

According to the Telegraph:

“‘It is not the recovery we wanted. It is a recovery beset by tensions and strain, which could even sow the seeds of the next crisis,’ he [Dominique Strauss-Kahn] said.

“‘Global unemployment remains at record highs, with widening income inequality adding to social strains,’ he said, citing turmoil in North Africa as a prelude to what may happen as 400m youths join the workforce over the next decade. ‘We could see rising social and political instability within nations – even war,’ he said.

“The IMF has published a paper entitled Inequality, Leverage and Crisis arguing that the extreme gap between rich and poor – with echoes of the US in the late 1920s – was an underlying cause of the Great Recession from 2008-2009. The paper, by the Fund’s modelling unit, warned of ‘disastrous consequences’ for the world economy unless workers regain their ‘bargaining power’ against rentiers. It suggests radical changes to the tax system and debt relief for workers.”

For the purposes of the IMF paper, the discussion focuses on how changes in income distribution can result in an abuse of leverage, and a build up to the kinds of crises witnessed in the 1920-1929 and 1983-2008 periods. However, the IMF’s more bottom-line warning seems to be that lower income groups, without bargaining power over income, are becoming more likely to respond with violence than with a traditional picketing. You can see more details in the Telegraph’s coverage of how the IMF is warning of civil wars as global inequalities worsen.

Best,

Rocky Vega,
The Daily Reckoning

Rocky Vega

Rocky Vega is publisher of Agora Financial International, where he advances the growth of Agora Financial publishing enterprises outside of the US. Previously, he was publisher of The Daily Reckoning, and founding publisher of both UrbanTurf and RFID Update -- which he ran from Brazil, Chile, and Puerto Rico -- as well as associate publisher of FierceFinance. Rocky has an honors MS from the Stockholm School of Economics and an honors BA from Harvard University, where he served on the board of directors for Let?s Go Publications, Harvard Student Agencies, and The Harvard Advocate.

  • NadePaulKuciGravMcKi

    The IMF is very very ready ~
    to help Egypt for a slight profit.

Recent Articles

A Huge First Step in Reversing Paralysis

Stephen Petranek

Advancements in technology, especially biotechnology, are happening at an amazing rate. And that's opening up incredible opportunities for astute, knowledgeable investors who - with the right guidance - can make serious gains in record time. Stephen Petranek explains...


Why You Should Be Buying Solar Stocks With Both Hands

Greg Guenthner

Oil's recent slump has given you a unique opportunity to pick up your favorite solar stock at a bargain-basement price. So if you're looking to double your money over the next 18 months, you need to quit staring at gas prices -- and start paying attention to solar stocks. Greg Guenthner explains...


The Next Car You Buy Will Be an Electric Car

Stephen Petranek

Electric cars are proving to be far cheaper to operate than anyone could have guessed. In fact, many people are now just getting the equivalent of thousands of mpg to their electric cars. And that's presenting a unique profit opportunity. Stephen Petranek explains...


A Treasure Chest of “Secret” Buy Signals

Paul Mampilly

The world's most successful investors almost always think differently. That's nowhere more apparent than when you're trying to invest in health care. Today, Paul Mampilly - one of the world's top biotech analysts - reveals one "secret" for making money from a predictable cycle in the industry. Read on...