Comments on: Has the Unemployment Scene Bottomed? http://dailyreckoning.com/has-the-unemployment-scene-bottomed/ Entertaining Ideas on the Economy, Markets, Gold, Oil and Investing Strategies. Fri, 10 Feb 2012 23:16:51 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: tony bonn http://dailyreckoning.com/has-the-unemployment-scene-bottomed/#comment-10603 tony bonn Fri, 05 Jun 2009 20:38:48 +0000 http://dailyreckoning.com/?p=16183#comment-10603 let's not forget that +226,000 jobs were implied from the birth/death model....if you compare the adp numbers with the b/d rate i would suggest that the implied jobs are irresponsibly too many.....i'll split the difference and get you back to 445,000 and i'll use the bls track record of understating losses all this year to get you to 500k.... turning a 350k loss into a win is juvenile. p/e ratios are still too high...if the investors think this is all backward looking wait until they digest the sharp jump in 10yr tnx today....the plunge protection team like elctrons in heisenberg's uncertainty principle cannot have both position and velocity known simuultaneously....and the ppt can only levitate so many markets at once.... let’s not forget that +226,000 jobs were implied from the birth/death model….if you compare the adp numbers with the b/d rate i would suggest that the implied jobs are irresponsibly too many…..i’ll split the difference and get you back to 445,000 and i’ll use the bls track record of understating losses all this year to get you to 500k….

turning a 350k loss into a win is juvenile. p/e ratios are still too high…if the investors think this is all backward looking wait until they digest the sharp jump in 10yr tnx today….the plunge protection team like elctrons in heisenberg’s uncertainty principle cannot have both position and velocity known simuultaneously….and the ppt can only levitate so many markets at once….

]]> By: Economic analysis | Has the Unemployment Scene Bottomed? - Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks http://dailyreckoning.com/has-the-unemployment-scene-bottomed/#comment-10601 Economic analysis | Has the Unemployment Scene Bottomed? - Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks Fri, 05 Jun 2009 20:20:09 +0000 http://dailyreckoning.com/?p=16183#comment-10601 [...] [...] [...] [...]

]]> By: OSR http://dailyreckoning.com/has-the-unemployment-scene-bottomed/#comment-10599 OSR Fri, 05 Jun 2009 20:05:07 +0000 http://dailyreckoning.com/?p=16183#comment-10599 Interesting. That last chart looks like a well defined decay curve. Due to our economy's dependence on consumption, I'd always expected unemployment and spending to lead to exponential increases in unemployment. Looks like I'll have to visit FRED and see if I was right. Interesting. That last chart looks like a well defined decay curve. Due to our economy’s dependence on consumption, I’d always expected unemployment and spending to lead to exponential increases in unemployment. Looks like I’ll have to visit FRED and see if I was right.

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