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	<title>Daily Reckoning &#187; Alexander Green</title>
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		<title>A Classroom Without Walls</title>
		<link>http://dailyreckoning.com/a-classroom-without-walls/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Jul 2010 16:00:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alexander Green</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[emerging markets]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dailyreckoning.com/?p=31544</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last November, my wife Karen and I toured the Mediterranean with a group of friends, landing one day at the Great Pyramids at Giza. It’s not those marvels of the ancient world that I remember most vividly, however, or the majesty of the Sphinx, or the sweep of the desert beyond. It’s the camel abduction. [...]<p><a href="http://dailyreckoning.com/a-classroom-without-walls/">A Classroom Without Walls</a> originally appeared in the <a href="http://www.facebook.com/TheDailyReckoning">Daily Reckoning</a>. The Daily Reckoning, published by <a href="http://www.facebook.com/AgoraFinancial">Agora Financial</a> provides over 400,000 global readers economic news, market analysis, and contrarian investment ideas. </p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last November, my wife Karen and I toured the Mediterranean with a group of friends, landing one day at the Great Pyramids at Giza.</p>
<p>It’s not those marvels of the ancient world that I remember most vividly, however, or the majesty of the Sphinx, or the sweep of the desert beyond. It’s the camel abduction.</p>
<p>On the way to the pyramids, our guide told us to keep a wary eye on the local peddlers. “Having someone take a photo of you in front of the pyramids should cost a dollar,” he said. “A camel ride is about three dollars.”</p>
<p>Minutes later, as I was gazing up at the imposing Pyramid of Khufu, an older gentleman invited me to take a jaunt on his camel, a mangy beast who was, unfortunately, standing just upwind. As I looked on with mild interest, he whistled for the animal to kneel down.</p>
<p>The next thing I knew he was firmly escorting me onto the saddle and whistling for the camel to rise. Our group laughed and cheered as the camel driver led me off toward a rocky outcrop eighty or so yards away.</p>
<p>As soon as we were out of sight, however, the driver brought the camel to a halt and I was quickly surrounded by eight or ten Arab men shouting angrily at me in broken English to pay them each twenty dollars for the ride&#8230;now!</p>
<p>I said no and told the camel driver to take me back. He turned away as if he couldn’t hear me.</p>
<p>The group of men now pressed in tighter, feigning greater anger, as if I had somehow stiffed them all for the ride, which had so far lasted about 45 seconds. “Pay us now!” they shouted again, their hands stretched upwards.</p>
<p>We were at an impasse. I wasn’t about to pull out my wallet in front of this pack of hyenas. And I was too high up and boxed in to jump down. The men continued shouting and waving their arms. I shook my head and sat on my wallet like Jack Benny, wondering how this was going to play out.</p>
<p>About then, a fellow tourist wandered by, recognized what was going on and barked at the men to back off. “He said he would pay you,” he insisted. “Let him go.”</p>
<p>At this, the Arab men melted away and the camel driver turned and led me back.</p>
<p>I’m sure this incident would have infuriated some, but I was more amused than rattled. I had never sensed any real danger. The men didn’t threaten violence or brandish any weapons. This was sheer intimidation, a tawdry little shakedown. And a reminder that Egypt is not Des Moines.</p>
<p>Back home, I discovered that friends and colleagues were only vaguely interested in the ruins of ancient Greece, the history of Jerusalem or the serene beauty of the Amalfi coast. “Tell us again about the camel abduction,” they said.</p>
<p>Apparently, it was the highlight of the trip.</p>
<p>Not all travel is a success. With expectations high, things can go awry, especially in a foreign land. But even the occasional bad incident makes a good story. (And, perversely, the worst trips make the best ones.)</p>
<p>Most of my travel abroad, however, has not only been great fun but the best part of my education. This idea was once widely accepted.</p>
<p>In his Essay Concerning Human Understanding, John Locke argued that we absorb knowledge from our immediate environment. If you spend too much time in one place, you can “use up” its educational value. In order to grow, you must change locales.</p>
<p>In Victorian England, for example, travel abroad was more than just a mark of privilege. A “change of scenery” was a mandatory part of an upper-class education. The Grand Tour was the capstone of scholarship.</p>
<p>It was a rite of passage that marked a superior understanding of the world. Young aristocratic gentlemen (and later young ladies) set out from the white cliffs of Dover for the Continent with their personal tutors in tow to gain knowledge from the worlds of classical antiquity and the Renaissance, to understand the cultures and ideas that underpin Western Civilization.</p>
<p>Of course, the urge to travel – to open our minds and move beyond the familiar – is as old as mankind itself. It drove our ancestors out of Africa and around the globe. It motivated the ancient Romans to visit Verona’s amphitheater and Athens’ Acropolis. Philo of Byzantium was already listing his Seven Wonders of the Ancient World in the third century B.C. The spirit of adventure, the quest for understanding, and, of course, the dream of great riches pulled Marco Polo to the East and men like Columbus and de Soto to the West.</p>
<p>Travel broadens the mind, increases tolerance, and connects you with your fellow human beings. The more we understand others, the better we understand ourselves.</p>
<p>There are good people and unusual sights everywhere you go. Venture widely enough and you’ll enjoy exotic foods, extraordinary architecture, and jaw-dropping landscapes.</p>
<p>Exploring the world is like attending a classroom without walls. It enriches and changes you. The only requirements are patience, curiosity and a bit of money. (A traveler’s tip: Pack half the clothes you think you’ll need and twice the cash.)</p>
<p>Travel abroad fills in the gaps in our knowledge, dispels our preconceptions and offers endless surprises. Those who forego the opportunity truly don’t know what they’re missing.</p>
<p>It’s sad to go through life thinking foreigners are just strangers who dress oddly, eat bizarre foods, speak in incomprehensible tongues and drive on the wrong side of the road. As Mark Twain observed, “travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry and narrow-mindedness.” A voyage abroad teaches acceptance and humility. When you travel, you are the stranger. You are the foreigner.</p>
<p>Your kids and grandkids should discover this too, beginning with travel closer to home. Years ago, I became mildly nauseated by all the toys and games my son and daughter were receiving on their birthdays and at Christmas.</p>
<p>A trip – even if it’s only to the local fair or the town next door – is a far better gift. For kids, every outing is an adventure. Why not spend your time and money collecting memories instead of more stuff?</p>
<p>It doesn’t need to be some place exotic, especially when they’re young. Just make for the horizon and see what’s out there. Traveling without knowing where you are going, without having any particular destination in mind, is one of life’s great pleasures.</p>
<p>Of course, there are plenty of resources to get your mind working on places you’ve never considered. One of my favorites is Journeys of a Lifetime: 500 of the World’s Greatest Trips, a lavish volume put together by National Geographic.</p>
<p>Another handy guide is the bestseller 1,000 Places to See Before You Die by Patricia Schultz. It’s is a fine way to investigate destinations both on and off the beaten track. I’ve gotten in the habit of taking it with me on business trips to make sure I don’t miss the local sights and events. (If you’re on a tight budget – or unable to travel overseas – there’s even a version dedicated solely to the U.S. and Canada.)</p>
<p>In short, travel broadens our perspective and sharpens our view of the world. Rather than imagining how things may be, we see them as they truly are.</p>
<p>Your mind becomes more tolerant, your heart more magnanimous, your opinions better informed. And once your perspective is enlarged, it never shrinks back to its original state.</p>
<p>Some people make a pledge to visit all 50 states, or all seven continents, or fulfill some other checklist. And that’s fine.</p>
<p>But your ultimate goal is not a place, but a new way of seeing things.</p>
<p>Carpe Diem,</p>
<p><a title="Alexander Green" href="http://dailyreckoning.com/author/alexandergreen/" target="_blank">Alex Green</a><br />
for <a title="The Daily Reckoning" href="http://dailyreckoning.com/" target="_blank"><em>The Daily Reckoning</em></a></p>
<p><a href="http://dailyreckoning.com/a-classroom-without-walls/">A Classroom Without Walls</a> originally appeared in the <a href="http://www.facebook.com/TheDailyReckoning">Daily Reckoning</a>. The Daily Reckoning, published by <a href="http://www.facebook.com/AgoraFinancial">Agora Financial</a> provides over 400,000 global readers economic news, market analysis, and contrarian investment ideas. </p>
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		<title>How to Play &#8220;The Land of Rising Stocks&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://dailyreckoning.com/how-to-play-the-land-of-rising-stocks/</link>
		<comments>http://dailyreckoning.com/how-to-play-the-land-of-rising-stocks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Jul 2010 16:00:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alexander Green</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[The Wall Street Journal reported last week that, for the first time in three years, foreign investors are increasing their holdings in the Japanese stock market. Data released by the Tokyo Stock Exchange shows that foreign ownership of Japanese shares rose to 26% for the year that ended in March, up from 23.5% a year [...]<p><a href="http://dailyreckoning.com/how-to-play-the-land-of-rising-stocks/">How to Play &#8220;The Land of Rising Stocks&#8221;</a> originally appeared in the <a href="http://www.facebook.com/TheDailyReckoning">Daily Reckoning</a>. The Daily Reckoning, published by <a href="http://www.facebook.com/AgoraFinancial">Agora Financial</a> provides over 400,000 global readers economic news, market analysis, and contrarian investment ideas. </p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>The Wall Street Journal</em> reported last week that, for the first time in three years, foreign investors are increasing their holdings in the Japanese stock market.</p>
<p>Data released by the Tokyo Stock Exchange shows that foreign ownership of Japanese shares rose to 26% for the year that ended in March, up from 23.5% a year earlier.</p>
<p><em>The Journal</em> suggests that a recovery in Japanese corporate earnings is tempting foreign investors back to the country’s equity markets.</p>
<p>But I think there’s more going on here. Perhaps hedge fund managers and other savvy global investors have paged back through their old, dog-eared copies of Dr. Jeremy Siegel’s <em>Stocks for the Long Run</em>.</p>
<p>If so, they may have recognized something significant&#8230;</p>
<p><strong>Crunching the Numbers on Japan</strong></p>
<p>Siegel notes that it’s rare for stocks to go 10 years without giving a positive return. Yet we’ve experienced just such a rarity over the last decade.</p>
<p>For stocks to go 20 years without giving a positive return is almost unheard of. And 30 years? That’s rarer than Big Foot, Nessie and the Abominable Snowman combined.</p>
<p>Which brings me back to Japan&#8230;</p>
<p>In 1989, the Nikkei 225 – Japan’s equivalent of the S&amp;P 500 – hit a new all-time high near 40,000. Today, more than 20 years later, it languishes near 10,000 – almost 75% lower.</p>
<p>In other words, the Nikkei 225 would have to rise 300% just to get back where it was in 1989.</p>
<p>And it wouldn’t surprise me if it did just that by the end of the decade. After all, it’s happened before.</p>
<p>In the 1970s, the US market returned just 0.34% a year – a 3.4% total return for the decade. Yet the Japanese market compounded at 16%, generating a 10-year return of 344%.</p>
<p>What other asset class offers that kind of potential return over the next decade? (Gold bugs, keep your seats.)</p>
<p><strong>Don’t Chase the Bullet Train&#8230; Get on Board Now</strong></p>
<p>The groundwork has been laid.</p>
<p>Last August, after more than 50 years, Japan’s opposition party trounced the Liberal Democratic Party in a landslide election.</p>
<p>The new government has promised to shrink the country’s massive bureaucracy and cut wasteful public spending. It also intends to end more than 20 years of economic stagnation by cutting taxes and focusing on small and mid-sized businesses.</p>
<p>Of course, we’re all skeptical of politicians’ promises, but there is evidence that they mean business this time. Twenty years is a long time to leave your economy in a funk.</p>
<p>It’s resulted in Japanese stocks being among the cheapest and most unloved in the world. Virtually no one is enthusiastic about the Tokyo market.</p>
<p>However, great opportunities are born when dirt-cheap valuations marry investor apathy. Plus, Japanese investors are flush with cash. They’ve largely ignored domestic stocks after two decades of sub-par returns. And as that money begins to find its way out of mattresses and back into Japanese equities, the Tokyo market should lift off.</p>
<p>This is doubly true when institutional money managers return to Japan in a serious way. For years, global fund managers have outperformed the world benchmark by simply underweighting Japan. But let the Shinkansen take off without them and they will be forced to dash after it.</p>
<p>So how do you play this?</p>
<p><strong>Two Ways to Ride the Japanese Stock Market</strong></p>
<p>There are dozens of worthwhile Japanese ADRs trading on Nasdaq and the Big Board.</p>
<p>But you can gain exposure to Japanese stocks through two ETFs&#8230;</p>
<p><strong>– iShares MSCI Japan Index (NYSE:<a title="EWJ" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=EWJ" target="_blank">EWJ</a>)</strong>, which invests in large-cap Japanese stocks.<br />
<strong><br />
– Wisdom Tree Japan Small-Cap Dividend Fund (NYSE:<a title="DFJ" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=DFJ" target="_blank">DFJ</a>)</strong>, which captures the best of the Japanese small-cap sector.</p>
<p>Or you can spread your bets and own both.</p>
<p>Incidentally, if you remain skeptical about Japanese stocks digging their way out of this 21-year hole, consider again how unlikely it is that Japanese stocks will earn a negative 30-year return.</p>
<p>As Dr. Siegel writes in <em>Stocks For the Long Run</em>:</p>
<p><em>In the 12 years from 1948 to 1960, German stocks rose by over 30% per year in real terms. Indeed, from 1939, when the Germans began the war in Poland, through 1960, the real return on German stocks matched those in the United States and exceeded those in the U.K. Despite the total devastation that the war visited on Germany, the long-run investor made out as well in defeated Germany as in victorious Britain or the United States. The data powerfully attest to the resilience of stocks in the face of seemingly destructive political, social, and economic change.</em></p>
<p>The story in Japan was similar. By the end of 1945, stock prices stood at approximately one-third of their level just prior to the Empire’s surrender. Over the next 40 years, the Japanese market returned more than 20 times its American counterpart.</p>
<p>If 200 years of world stock market history is any guide, the current decade should be another barnburner for Japan.</p>
<p>Good investing,</p>
<p><a title="Alexander Green" href="http://dailyreckoning.com/author/alexandergreen/" target="_blank">Alexander Green</a><br />
for <a title="The Daily Reckoning" href="http://dailyreckoning.com/" target="_blank"><em>The Daily Reckoning</em></a></p>
<p><a href="http://dailyreckoning.com/how-to-play-the-land-of-rising-stocks/">How to Play &#8220;The Land of Rising Stocks&#8221;</a> originally appeared in the <a href="http://www.facebook.com/TheDailyReckoning">Daily Reckoning</a>. The Daily Reckoning, published by <a href="http://www.facebook.com/AgoraFinancial">Agora Financial</a> provides over 400,000 global readers economic news, market analysis, and contrarian investment ideas. </p>
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		<title>Japanese Stocks: Playing the Contrarian Edge</title>
		<link>http://dailyreckoning.com/japanese-stocks-playing-the-contrarian-edge/</link>
		<comments>http://dailyreckoning.com/japanese-stocks-playing-the-contrarian-edge/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Feb 2010 18:06:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alexander Green</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dailyreckoning.com/?p=23234</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here’s a handy way to know when to sell your investments: everyone is talking about them. There is an obvious corollary to knowing what to sell. If you want to know what to buy, consider what no one is talking about. And that brings me to investing in Japan… From a high near 40,000 in [...]<p><a href="http://dailyreckoning.com/japanese-stocks-playing-the-contrarian-edge/">Japanese Stocks: Playing the Contrarian Edge</a> originally appeared in the <a href="http://www.facebook.com/TheDailyReckoning">Daily Reckoning</a>. The Daily Reckoning, published by <a href="http://www.facebook.com/AgoraFinancial">Agora Financial</a> provides over 400,000 global readers economic news, market analysis, and contrarian investment ideas. </p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here’s a handy way to know when to sell your investments: everyone is talking about them.</p>
<p>There is an obvious corollary to knowing what to sell. If you want to know what to buy, consider what <em>no one</em> is talking about.</p>
<p>And that brings me to investing in Japan…</p>
<p>From a high near 40,000 in 1989, the once-mighty Nikkei 225 – the equivalent of our S&amp;P 500 – fell over 80% and hit a 27-year low early last year. It’s still more than 70% below the highs of 21 years ago.</p>
<p>The main culprit – aside from a real estate bubble that made the one here in the United States look bush-league – was <a title="Japan's Historic Moment of Confusion" href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/September/japans-historic-moment-of-confusion.html" target="_blank">misguided government policies</a>. Japan waited too long to clean up its ailing banking system and spent trillions on public works projects that simply weren’t needed.</p>
<p>However, Japan has a new government that has promised to shrink the country’s massive bureaucracy and cut wasteful public spending. It also intends to end more than 20 years of economic stagnation by cutting taxes and focusing on small and mid-sized businesses.</p>
<p>Japanese stocks have rallied off the lows of 10 months ago. In fact, the Tokyo Exchange is one of the world’s best-performing bourses so far in 2010.</p>
<p>But it’s still among the cheapest and most unloved in the world. Virtually no one is enthusiastic about Japanese stocks.</p>
<p><a href="http://dailyreckoning.com/japanese-stocks-playing-the-contrarian-edge/">Japanese Stocks: Playing the Contrarian Edge</a> originally appeared in the <a href="http://www.facebook.com/TheDailyReckoning">Daily Reckoning</a>. The Daily Reckoning, published by <a href="http://www.facebook.com/AgoraFinancial">Agora Financial</a> provides over 400,000 global readers economic news, market analysis, and contrarian investment ideas. </p>
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		<title>You&#8217;re Rich and You Don&#8217;t Know It</title>
		<link>http://dailyreckoning.com/youre-rich-and-you-dont-know-it/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Jun 2009 20:19:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alexander Green</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dailyreckoning.com/?p=16605</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today you are richer than 99% of the people who ever walked the earth. That’s true even if you’re out of work, flat broke, your credit cards are maxed out, your car’s been repossessed and a sheriff’s deputy has already served your eviction notice. I’m about to explain why – and share the best three [...]<p><a href="http://dailyreckoning.com/youre-rich-and-you-dont-know-it/">You&#8217;re Rich and You Don&#8217;t Know It</a> originally appeared in the <a href="http://www.facebook.com/TheDailyReckoning">Daily Reckoning</a>. The Daily Reckoning, published by <a href="http://www.facebook.com/AgoraFinancial">Agora Financial</a> provides over 400,000 global readers economic news, market analysis, and contrarian investment ideas. </p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today you are richer than 99% of the people who ever walked the earth.</p>
<p>That’s true even if you’re out of work, flat broke, your credit cards are maxed out, your car’s been repossessed and a sheriff’s deputy has already served your eviction notice.</p>
<p>I’m about to explain why – and share the best three words of advice you’ll ever get &#8230;</p>
<p>According to a recent CBS News/<em>New York Times</em> poll, Americans’ views on the general state of the country have hit an all-time low, <strong>with 81% saying the nation is on the “wrong track” – the worst-ever number for this barometer.</strong></p>
<p>Some will say this simply reflects The Great Recession and the inevitable pain and suffering it has wrought.</p>
<p>But that’s not the whole story. Increasing numbers have been saying this – not just for years but for decades, with large majorities claiming that the country is going downhill, life is getting tougher, <strong>our children face a declining future and the world in general is going to hell in a hand basket.</strong></p>
<p>Exactly why is pretty obvious&#8230;</p>
<p>We face the twin specters of terrorism and nuclear proliferation. American troops are bogged down in Iraq and Afghanistan. TV programming is trash. Taxes are high. The federal deficit is ballooning, home prices are falling, the currency is weak, food and fuel prices have jumped, credit is tight, and the stock market just experienced its worst year since 1931.</p>
<p>Of course, the national media delivers the world through a highly distorted lens. It does this to attract attention. It takes viewers to sell advertising.</p>
<p>And you don’t draw a crowd talking about buildings that don’t burn, planes that don’t crash, or companies that are hiring instead of laying off.</p>
<p><strong>Yet despite all the negative news, our general lot is getting better, not worse.</strong> As Greg Easterbrook of the Brookings Institution recently wrote in <em>The Wall Street Journal</em>, “Living standards are the highest they have ever been, including the living standards for the middle class and the poor. All forms of pollution other than greenhouse gases are in decline; cancer, heart disease and stroke incidence are declining; crime is in a long-term cycle of significant decline, education levels are at all-time highs.”</p>
<p>Our ancestors just a few generations removed would marvel at life today. In the first half of the 20th century, for instance, most people earned a subsistence living through long hours of backbreaking work in forestry, mining, farms or factories.</p>
<p>Today we work roughly half as many hours, physical toil has ended for most wage earners, and we have more purchasing power with far more leisure.</p>
<p>In the first half of our nation’s history, most Americans lived and died within a few miles of where they were born. Nothing – neither people nor news – traveled faster than a horse. And, as far as we knew, nothing ever would. Today we have instantaneous global communication, 24-hour broadband Internet access and same-day travel to distant cities.</p>
<p>Formal discrimination against women and minorities has ended. There is mass home ownership, with central heat and air-conditioning – and endless labor-saving devices: stoves, ovens, refrigerators, dishwashers, microwaves, cell phones and computers.</p>
<p>Medicine was almost non-existent 80 years ago. In 1927, for example, President Calvin Coolidge’s sixteen-year old son Calvin Jr. developed a blister playing tennis without socks. It became infected. Five days later, he died. Before the advent of antibiotics, tragedies like this were routine.</p>
<p>Advances in drugs and technology have eliminated most of history’s plagues. There has been a stunning reduction in infectious diseases.</p>
<p><strong>We complain about the rising cost of health care. But that’s only because we live long enough to need more of it.</strong> The average American lifespan has almost doubled over the past century.</p>
<p>We have low-cost access to information, art and literature. We have almost every imaginable political and economic freedom.</p>
<p>True, the federal government is a sprawling, metastasizing leviathan that needs to be beat back with a stick. But compare it to most governments in most countries down through the ages.</p>
<p><strong>In short, we enjoy economic and political freedoms that millions throughout history have risked theirs lives for.</strong> We live a long time, in comfortable circumstances, and enjoy goods and services in almost limitless supply. By almost any measure, we are living better than 99% of the people who have come before us.</p>
<p>Yet Americans routinely tell pollsters that life is hard and things are getting worse. In short, we risk becoming the moping caricature that comedian Steve Martin creates when he grumbles, “the only joy I know is a dishwashing liquid.”</p>
<p>Seldom do we take a moment to appreciate our incredible good fortune being alive.</p>
<p>As Oxford biologist Richard Dawkins writes:</p>
<p><em>We are going to die, and that makes us the lucky ones. Most people are never going to die because they are never going to be born. The potential people who could have been here in my place but who will in fact never see the light of day outnumber the sand grains of Sahara. Certainly those unborn ghosts include greater poets than Keats, scientists greater than Newton. We know this because the set of possible people allowed by our DNA so massively outnumbers the set of actual people. In the teeth of these stupefying odds it is you and I, in our ordinariness, that are here&#8230;</em></p>
<p>And none of us knows how long he’s going to be here.</p>
<p>Take Eugene O’Kelly, former Chairman and CEO of accounting giant KPMG, for example.</p>
<p>Four years ago, he was diagnosed with inoperable, late-stage brain cancer. He was told he had three to six months to live. He was 53.</p>
<p><strong>Suddenly, the life of this rich, powerful and privileged man, whose days were filled with executive meetings and business appointments, became something very different.</strong></p>
<p>He was left with less than 100 days to live.</p>
<p>“No more living in the future,” he wrote in his memoir. “(Or the past, for that matter – a problem for many people, although a lesser one for me.) I needed to stop living two months, a week, even a few hours ahead. Even a few minutes ahead. Sixty seconds from now is, in its way, as elusive as sixty years from now, and always will be. It is – was – exhausting to live in a world that never exists. Also kind of silly, since we happen to be blessed with such a fascinating one right here, right now. I felt that if I could learn to stay in the present moment, to be fully conscious of my surroundings, I would buy myself lots of time that had never been available to me, not in all the years I was healthy&#8230;”</p>
<p>With the clock counting down, O’Kelly made a list of his closest friends and colleagues and planned a final encounter with each one:</p>
<p>“I stopped at each name and made myself recall, in the closest detail possible, all the moments the two of us had enjoyed together. How we met. What made us become friends in the first place. The qualities in them I particularly appreciated. The lessons I learned by knowing them. The ways in which having met him or her had made me a better person.”</p>
<p><strong>His friends were touched – usually overwhelmed – to know how much they had meant to him. “Enjoy every sandwich,” he writes.</strong></p>
<p>Most of us promise ourselves that one day – not too long from now – we’ll slow down. We’ll spend more time with our family. Enjoy a lazy day out with friends. Or just take a walk alone in the woods or on the seashore. Some day&#8230;</p>
<p>If – like me – you’re one of the millions who has often deluded himself this way, O’Kelly has three words of advice: <strong><em>“Move it up.”</em></strong></p>
<p>Eugene O’Kelly died on September 10th, 2005.</p>
<p>Regards,</p>
<p>Alexander Green<br />
for <em>The Daily Reckoning</em></p>
<p>Editor&#8217;s Note: Alexander Green is Investment Director of The Oxford Club. He also writes Spiritual Wealth, an e-letter about the pursuit of the good life and what it means to be truly wealthy. Just this week, Wiley &amp; Sons published a new collection of his essays, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0470482281?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=ssiaf-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=0470482281"><em>The Secret of Shelter Island: Money and What Matters</em></a>.<em><br />
</em></p>
<p><a href="http://dailyreckoning.com/youre-rich-and-you-dont-know-it/">You&#8217;re Rich and You Don&#8217;t Know It</a> originally appeared in the <a href="http://www.facebook.com/TheDailyReckoning">Daily Reckoning</a>. The Daily Reckoning, published by <a href="http://www.facebook.com/AgoraFinancial">Agora Financial</a> provides over 400,000 global readers economic news, market analysis, and contrarian investment ideas. </p>
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		<title>Get Wise</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2009 20:12:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alexander Green</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Daily Reckoning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gone Fishin' Portfolio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing philosophy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investment advice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[retirement nest eggs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dailyreckoning.com/?p=15869</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As an investment analyst, I speak frequently at investment conferences across the United States and around the world. The attendees come for a number of different reasons. Some want to gain some insights on interest rates, the dollar, or the stock market. Others are seeking a new investment strategy. Still others are looking for good [...]<p><a href="http://dailyreckoning.com/get-wise/">Get Wise</a> originally appeared in the <a href="http://www.facebook.com/TheDailyReckoning">Daily Reckoning</a>. The Daily Reckoning, published by <a href="http://www.facebook.com/AgoraFinancial">Agora Financial</a> provides over 400,000 global readers economic news, market analysis, and contrarian investment ideas. </p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As an investment analyst, I speak frequently at investment conferences across the United States and around the world.</p>
<p>The attendees come for a number of different reasons. Some want to gain some insights on interest rates, the dollar, or the stock market. Others are seeking a new investment strategy. Still others are looking for good investment ideas or, as one gentleman insisted, “just one great stock.”</p>
<p><strong>But before you can put your money to work effectively, you need something even more fundamental to your success: a philosophy of investing.</strong></p>
<p>In her book <em>Philosophy: Who Needs It</em>, Ayn Rand argues that all of us have a philosophy of life, whether we know it or not. “Your only choice,” she writes, “is whether you define your philosophy by a conscious, rational, disciplined process of thought&#8230;or let your subconscious accumulate a junk heap of unwarranted conclusions&#8230;”</p>
<p><strong>What’s true of life is also true of investing.</strong></p>
<p>Over the past two decades, I’ve dealt with thousands of individual investors, some highly astute, some rank novices. Many had only the foggiest notion of what they were trying to achieve – or how. In some ways this is understandable. World financial markets are complex and the investment process can be daunting.</p>
<p>Beginners often don’t understand the fundamentals of saving and investing. And even more experienced investors are often stymied by the complexities and technical jargon surrounding the investment process. Many try (and inevitably fail) to outguess the markets – or simply wave the white flag and turn their portfolio over to “that nice young man down at Merrill Lynch.”</p>
<p>Big mistake.</p>
<p><strong>No one cares more about your money than you do. With a basic understanding of the investment process and a bit of discipline, you’re perfectly capable of managing your own money, even your “serious money.”</strong> Especially your serious money. By managing your own money, you’ll be able to earn higher returns and save many thousands of dollars in investment costs over your lifetime.</p>
<p><em>The Gone Fishin’ Portfolio</em> rests on a powerful philosophy of investing. It’s battle-tested. It’s built on the most advanced – and realistic – theories of money management. And it works.</p>
<p>Moreover, <em>The Gone Fishin’ Portfolio</em> does something that virtually no other investment guide does. I’m going to show you – very specifically – where you should put your money. And then I’m going to show you how to manage it year after year.</p>
<p>Once you’ve set up your portfolio, the whole process will take less than 20 minutes a year to implement. This may sound like an audacious claim. But, as you’ll soon see, the strategy itself is steeped in humility.</p>
<p>It is based on the only realistic premise for an investment philosophy – that, to a great extent, the future is unknowable. <strong>So don’t expect me to draw on my gift of prophecy and tell you what’s going to happen to the economy, interest rates, the dollar, or world stock markets.</strong> (No one is more surprised than me how the market action unfolds each year.) Nor will we ignore uncertainty or pretend we have a system that has eliminated it. Instead, we’re going to use uncertainty and make it our friend. In short, we’re going to capitalize on it.</p>
<p>Investing is serious business. Getting it right is the difference between a retirement spent in comfort (or luxury) and spending your golden years counting nickels, worrying whether you’ll have enough. The difference could hardly be starker.</p>
<p>Up until now, you may have been tempted to turn your investment portfolio over to someone else to manage. After all, your financial security is paramount. You may not think you can take the risk – or handle the responsibility – of running your money yourself. I fully intend to disabuse you of that notion. I also want to point out that there are serious risks to turning your money over to someone else. That person may manage it poorly. Or be terribly expensive. Or both.</p>
<p>If you’re skeptical on this point, it may be that you’ve bought the story that Wall Street is selling: Investing is so complicated – or your personal circumstances so exceptional – that you should not be trusted to run your own money.</p>
<p>I’ll concede that if you don’t know what the heck you’re doing, this is absolutely true. <strong>But one solution is learning what to do, rather than turning your financial welfare over to someone else.</strong></p>
<p>When it comes to managing your money, there are plenty of potential pitfalls out there. However, those investors who wind up in retirement with less money than they need have generally fallen prey to one of four basic mistakes:</p>
<p>1. They were too conservative, so their portfolio didn’t grow enough to begin generating the income required to meet their spending requirements.</p>
<p>2. They were too aggressive, so a significant percentage of their portfolio went up in flames along the way.</p>
<p>3. They tried – and failed – to time the market. Confident that they would be in for market rallies and out for market corrections, they ended up doing just the opposite much of the time.</p>
<p>4. They delegated unwisely. They turned their financial affairs over to a broker, insurance agent, or financial planner who – over time – converted a substantial amount of their assets into his assets. In addition, the advisor may have been too conservative, too aggressive, or tried and failed to time the market.</p>
<p><strong>If your nest egg is lying in pieces late in life, you generally don’t have the opportunity – or the time – to build another one. The consequences, both personal and financial, can be devastating.</strong></p>
<p>Planning your financial future is a momentous responsibility. Although <em>The Gone Fishin’ Portfolio</em> has a lighthearted name, it enables you to handle your serious money – the money you need to live on in retirement – in a serious way.</p>
<p>There are few guarantees in the world of investing. In fact, once you get beyond the risk-free world of Treasuries and certificates of deposit, there are virtually none. However, <em>The Gone Fishin’ Portfolio</em> eliminates six major investment risks:</p>
<p>1. It keeps you from being so conservative that your long-term purchasing power fails to keep up with inflation.</p>
<p>2. It prevents you from handling your money recklessly.</p>
<p>3. It does not require you to own any individual stocks or bonds. So a single security – think Worldcom or Enron – cannot cause your portfolio to crater.</p>
<p>4. It does not require a broker, financial consultant, or anyone else to attach himself to your portfolio like a barnacle, siphoning off fees every year.</p>
<p>5. It doesn’t require you – or any investment “expert” – to forecast the economy, predict the market, or analyze competing economic theories about the future.</p>
<p>6. Perhaps most importantly, it guarantees that your time will be your own. Rather than spending countless hours evaluating stocks, market trends, or fund managers, you’ll spend your time as you please. While others struggle to manage their money effectively, you’ll have “gone fishin’.”</p>
<p>This last point means that instead of spending countless hours fretting over your investment portfolio, you’ll be able to relax&#8230;play golf&#8230;travel the world&#8230;spend more time with your kids or grandkids&#8230;or just swing on a hammock in the shade with a glass of ice-cold lemonade. Because your investments will be on autopilot.</p>
<p><strong>This is not just a strategy for today’s markets, incidentally. <em>The Gone Fishin’ Portfolio</em> is designed to prosper – and generate peace of mind – through all market environments.</strong></p>
<p>And I invite you to be skeptical. In fact, let me begin by asking you a question:</p>
<p>If I could show you a way to manage your money yourself, using a strategy that is as powerful and effective as any used by the nation’s top institutions, that will allow you to outperform the vast majority of investment professionals, pay nothing in sales charges, brokerage fees, or commissions, that will take less than 20 minutes a year to implement, and is based on an investment strategy so sophisticated it won the Nobel Prize in economics, would you be interested?</p>
<p>I hope so. That, in a nutshell, is <em>The Gone Fishin’ Portfolio</em>. It’s about handling the money you intend to retire on simply, effectively and cost-efficiently, with the absolute minimum of time and attention.</p>
<p>If you’re like most people I know, you have better things to do than watch your stocks bounce up and down all day.</p>
<p>Don’t get me wrong. I’m not averse to trading stocks, myself. (Long-term investing and short-term trading are not mutually exclusive.) But short-term trading strategies are beyond the scope of this book. Instead of focusing on trading or speculating, we’re going to focus here on the money you intend to retire on – and perhaps ultimately leave to your kids, your grandkids, or your favorite charity. This is money that shouldn’t be treated like chips in a poker game.</p>
<p><strong>Reaching financial independence is a serious goal, one that should be pursued in a disciplined, rigorous way.</strong></p>
<p>That’s why I recommend that you make <em>The Gone Fishin’ Portfolio</em> the core of your long-term investment program. The philosophy behind it is based on the best investment thinking available. It has been tested in various economic conditions. It increases your returns while reducing your risk. And it minimizes your investment costs and annual capital gains taxes.</p>
<p>Best of all, it works. Investors who have put their money to work this way have enjoyed years of market-beating returns while taking less risk than being fully invested in stocks.</p>
<p>Now it’s your turn.</p>
<p>Regards,</p>
<p>Alexander Green<br />
for <em>The Daily Reckoning</em></p>
<p><a href="http://dailyreckoning.com/get-wise/">Get Wise</a> originally appeared in the <a href="http://www.facebook.com/TheDailyReckoning">Daily Reckoning</a>. The Daily Reckoning, published by <a href="http://www.facebook.com/AgoraFinancial">Agora Financial</a> provides over 400,000 global readers economic news, market analysis, and contrarian investment ideas. </p>
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