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73% Expect Greece to Default Thanks to ECB

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06/09/10 Stockholm, Sweden – Faith in Europe’s nearly $1 trillion bailout is sputtering considerably. The latest Bloomberg tally shows 73 percent of global investors polled think it’s likely Greece will still default.

In addition, over 40 percent expect Greece to quit the euro. All that bailout sounds like money well spent, indeed.

From Bloomberg:

“‘There is clearly a risk of a breakup of the euro,’ says Geoff Marson, managing director at a Guernsey subsidiary of London-based Odey Asset Management, which oversees about $6 billion.

“Trichet, whose ECB supported the rescue package by buying bonds of Greece and other European governments, saw his approval rating tumble from a January Bloomberg poll. A plurality — 48 percent — give the 67-year-old central banker an unfavorable rating in the latest poll, while 41 percent view him favorably. In January, Trichet received a 60 percent approval rating, with 27 percent regarding him negatively.

“’Trichet has sacrificed the ECB’s independence by helping to rescue Greece,’ says Cyril Boudin, a participant in the poll and a derivatives trader at Unicredit Group in London.”

It’s not only European and IMF funds that look like they are going to waste, but also the credibility of the European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet. Perhaps it’s a good thing there wasn’t much credibility to lose in the first place.

You can read all the details in Bloomberg’s coverage of how a Greek default is seen as likely.

Best,

Rocky Vega,
The Daily Reckoning

Author Image for Rocky Vega

Rocky Vega

Rocky Vega is publisher of Agora Financial International, where he advances the growth of Agora Financial publishing enterprises outside of the US. Previously, he was publisher of The Daily Reckoning, and founding publisher of both UrbanTurf and RFID Update -- which he ran from Brazil, Chile, and Puerto Rico -- as well as associate publisher of FierceFinance. Rocky has an honors MS from the Stockholm School of Economics and an honors BA from Harvard University, where he served on the board of directors for Let’s Go Publications, Harvard Student Agencies, and The Harvard Advocate.

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